Recent Météo-France and ensemble model guidance favor a 25–26 °C maximum in Paris on June 14 under building high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light northwesterly flow that promotes strong daytime heating and limited cloud cover. These conditions produce peak insolation and modest boundary-layer mixing, keeping the distribution tightly centered on 25 °C (50.5 % implied probability) and 26 °C (40.5 %). Recent warming has lifted maxima several degrees above seasonal normals, yet small spreads in 850 hPa temperatures and minor afternoon cloud variability sustain the narrow range. Updated model runs and real-time surface observations continue to anchor trader consensus around these two outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Paris on June 14?
25°C 51%
26°C 41%
24°C 7.3%
27°C 4.6%
$54,684 Объем
$54,684 Объем
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
7%
25°C
51%
26°C
41%
27°C
5%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 51%
26°C 41%
24°C 7.3%
27°C 4.6%
$54,684 Объем
$54,684 Объем
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
7%
25°C
51%
26°C
41%
27°C
5%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France and ensemble model guidance favor a 25–26 °C maximum in Paris on June 14 under building high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light northwesterly flow that promotes strong daytime heating and limited cloud cover. These conditions produce peak insolation and modest boundary-layer mixing, keeping the distribution tightly centered on 25 °C (50.5 % implied probability) and 26 °C (40.5 %). Recent warming has lifted maxima several degrees above seasonal normals, yet small spreads in 850 hPa temperatures and minor afternoon cloud variability sustain the narrow range. Updated model runs and real-time surface observations continue to anchor trader consensus around these two outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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