Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate a cloudy day with scattered showers and northeasterly winds, keeping maximum temperatures capped near 29–30°C. This aligns with seasonal above-normal warmth but moderated by high humidity (around 80–95%) and limited solar heating, positioning these two outcomes as the clear market leaders with combined 99% implied probability. Historical June averages near 30–31°C provide context, yet today's specific synoptic pattern reduces upside risk of reaching 31°C or higher, while the low probability assigned to cooler readings reflects the persistent warmth and lack of significant cooling mechanisms. Updated model runs and any late-day observations will determine final resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гонконге 14 июня?
29°C 48%
30°C 47%
31°C 3.1%
32°C <1%
$126,167 Объем
$126,167 Объем
23°C или ниже
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
48%
30°C
47%
31°C
3%
32°C
<1%
33°C или выше
<1%
29°C 48%
30°C 47%
31°C 3.1%
32°C <1%
$126,167 Объем
$126,167 Объем
23°C или ниже
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
48%
30°C
47%
31°C
3%
32°C
<1%
33°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate a cloudy day with scattered showers and northeasterly winds, keeping maximum temperatures capped near 29–30°C. This aligns with seasonal above-normal warmth but moderated by high humidity (around 80–95%) and limited solar heating, positioning these two outcomes as the clear market leaders with combined 99% implied probability. Historical June averages near 30–31°C provide context, yet today's specific synoptic pattern reduces upside risk of reaching 31°C or higher, while the low probability assigned to cooler readings reflects the persistent warmth and lack of significant cooling mechanisms. Updated model runs and any late-day observations will determine final resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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