**Trader consensus has converged on 30°C as the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on June 12, 2026, producing market-implied odds of 99.9% for that outcome.** This near-certainty stems from official post-event readings across the observatory’s network, which showed peak values falling squarely in the 30°C bin (with individual stations reporting maxima around 30–31°C). June climatology for Hong Kong—hot, humid subtropical conditions with typical daytime highs near 30–31°C—provided the baseline expectation, but the decisive driver was the verified observational data released after the date. Realistic challenges to this resolution remain limited to rare post-processing revisions or measurement discrepancies at the reference station, both of which have low historical precedent for this market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 12?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 12?
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$220,007 Объем
$220,007 Объем
12 июн. 2026 г.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$220,007 Объем
$220,007 Объем
12 июн. 2026 г.
23°C or below
$2,740 Объем
<1%
24°C
$806 Объем
<1%
25°C
$1,838 Объем
<1%
26°C
$9,169 Объем
<1%
27°C
$20,011 Объем
<1%
28°C
$29,030 Объем
<1%
29°C
$25,571 Объем
<1%
30°C
$45,028 Объем
100%
31°C
$35,994 Объем
<1%
32°C
$28,535 Объем
<1%
33°C or higher
$21,303 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus has converged on 30°C as the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on June 12, 2026, producing market-implied odds of 99.9% for that outcome.**
This near-certainty stems from official post-event readings across the observatory’s network, which showed peak values falling squarely in the 30°C bin (with individual stations reporting maxima around 30–31°C). June climatology for Hong Kong—hot, humid subtropical conditions with typical daytime highs near 30–31°C—provided the baseline expectation, but the decisive driver was the verified observational data released after the date.
Realistic challenges to this resolution remain limited to rare post-processing revisions or measurement discrepancies at the reference station, both of which have low historical precedent for this market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Объем
$220,007Дата окончания
12 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus has converged on 30°C as the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on June 12, 2026, producing market-implied odds of 99.9% for that outcome.**
This near-certainty stems from official post-event readings across the observatory’s network, which showed peak values falling squarely in the 30°C bin (with individual stations reporting maxima around 30–31°C). June climatology for Hong Kong—hot, humid subtropical conditions with typical daytime highs near 30–31°C—provided the baseline expectation, but the decisive driver was the verified observational data released after the date.
Realistic challenges to this resolution remain limited to rare post-processing revisions or measurement discrepancies at the reference station, both of which have low historical precedent for this market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$220,007Дата окончания
12 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has converged on 30°C as the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on June 12, 2026, producing market-implied odds of 99.9% for that outcome.** This near-certainty stems from official post-event readings across the observatory’s network, which showed peak values falling squarely in the 30°C bin (with individual stations reporting maxima around 30–31°C). June climatology for Hong Kong—hot, humid subtropical conditions with typical daytime highs near 30–31°C—provided the baseline expectation, but the decisive driver was the verified observational data released after the date. Realistic challenges to this resolution remain limited to rare post-processing revisions or measurement discrepancies at the reference station, both of which have low historical precedent for this market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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