**Trader consensus centers on a 29–31°C peak for Hong Kong on June 13, with 30°C holding the highest implied probability at 35%.** This positioning aligns with official Hong Kong Observatory guidance for normal-to-above-normal temperatures across June, driven by the seasonal strengthening of the southwest monsoon and persistent warm, humid air masses typical of the region’s subtropical climate. Short-range model runs currently favor daytime maxima near 28–29°C amid variable cloud cover and showers, tempering expectations for the upper end of the June climatological range (average highs ~30–32°C). The market’s tight clustering around 29–31°C reflects uncertainty in how much daytime heating will occur before any convective activity develops, with newer forecast updates likely to shift probabilities as the 48-hour window closes. Historical analogs show June peaks frequently reach or exceed 30°C under similar large-scale patterns, providing a baseline that traders appear to weigh against the freshest model guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гонконге 13 июня?
Самая высокая температура в Гонконге 13 июня?
30°C 36%
29°C 22%
31°C 22%
28°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 июн. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
5%
28°C
11%
29°C
22%
30°C
36%
31°C
22%
32°C
9%
33°C
6%
34°C
1%
35°C или выше
<1%
30°C 36%
29°C 22%
31°C 22%
28°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 июн. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
$20 Объем
<1%
26°C
$50 Объем
<1%
27°C
$675 Объем
5%
28°C
$138 Объем
11%
29°C
$79 Объем
22%
30°C
$57 Объем
36%
31°C
$52 Объем
22%
32°C
$11 Объем
9%
33°C
$24 Объем
6%
34°C
$84 Объем
1%
35°C или выше
$570 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus centers on a 29–31°C peak for Hong Kong on June 13, with 30°C holding the highest implied probability at 35%.** This positioning aligns with official Hong Kong Observatory guidance for normal-to-above-normal temperatures across June, driven by the seasonal strengthening of the southwest monsoon and persistent warm, humid air masses typical of the region’s subtropical climate. Short-range model runs currently favor daytime maxima near 28–29°C amid variable cloud cover and showers, tempering expectations for the upper end of the June climatological range (average highs ~30–32°C). The market’s tight clustering around 29–31°C reflects uncertainty in how much daytime heating will occur before any convective activity develops, with newer forecast updates likely to shift probabilities as the 48-hour window closes. Historical analogs show June peaks frequently reach or exceed 30°C under similar large-scale patterns, providing a baseline that traders appear to weigh against the freshest model guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Jun 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Объем
$1,701Дата окончания
13 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus centers on a 29–31°C peak for Hong Kong on June 13, with 30°C holding the highest implied probability at 35%.** This positioning aligns with official Hong Kong Observatory guidance for normal-to-above-normal temperatures across June, driven by the seasonal strengthening of the southwest monsoon and persistent warm, humid air masses typical of the region’s subtropical climate. Short-range model runs currently favor daytime maxima near 28–29°C amid variable cloud cover and showers, tempering expectations for the upper end of the June climatological range (average highs ~30–32°C). The market’s tight clustering around 29–31°C reflects uncertainty in how much daytime heating will occur before any convective activity develops, with newer forecast updates likely to shift probabilities as the 48-hour window closes. Historical analogs show June peaks frequently reach or exceed 30°C under similar large-scale patterns, providing a baseline that traders appear to weigh against the freshest model guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$1,701Дата окончания
13 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on a 29–31°C peak for Hong Kong on June 13, with 30°C holding the highest implied probability at 35%.** This positioning aligns with official Hong Kong Observatory guidance for normal-to-above-normal temperatures across June, driven by the seasonal strengthening of the southwest monsoon and persistent warm, humid air masses typical of the region’s subtropical climate. Short-range model runs currently favor daytime maxima near 28–29°C amid variable cloud cover and showers, tempering expectations for the upper end of the June climatological range (average highs ~30–32°C). The market’s tight clustering around 29–31°C reflects uncertainty in how much daytime heating will occur before any convective activity develops, with newer forecast updates likely to shift probabilities as the 48-hour window closes. Historical analogs show June peaks frequently reach or exceed 30°C under similar large-scale patterns, providing a baseline that traders appear to weigh against the freshest model guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы