Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 32°C high in Shenzhen on June 11 centers on real-time observational data and model consensus from agencies tracking subtropical conditions. Persistent warm, humid southerly flow combined with limited cloud cover and urban heat effects has driven daytime maxima to this exact threshold, consistent with June climatology where averages reach 30–32°C. Recent model runs show minimal deviation in peak readings across official stations. Only revised post-event verification from multiple sensors or unexpected late-day cooling could alter the recorded maximum before market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 11?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 11?
32°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$174,793 Объем
$174,793 Объем
11 июн. 2026 г.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$174,793 Объем
$174,793 Объем
11 июн. 2026 г.
24°C or below
$336 Объем
No
25°C
$531 Объем
No
26°C
$2,384 Объем
No
27°C
$2,053 Объем
No
28°C
$5,284 Объем
No
29°C
$9,197 Объем
No
30°C
$21,021 Объем
No
31°C
$66,154 Объем
No
32°C
$33,197 Объем
Yes
33°C
$21,812 Объем
No
34°C or higher
$12,824 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 32°C high in Shenzhen on June 11 centers on real-time observational data and model consensus from agencies tracking subtropical conditions. Persistent warm, humid southerly flow combined with limited cloud cover and urban heat effects has driven daytime maxima to this exact threshold, consistent with June climatology where averages reach 30–32°C. Recent model runs show minimal deviation in peak readings across official stations. Only revised post-event verification from multiple sensors or unexpected late-day cooling could alter the recorded maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 9, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Объем
$174,793Дата окончания
11 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 9, 2026, 12:18 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 32°C high in Shenzhen on June 11 centers on real-time observational data and model consensus from agencies tracking subtropical conditions. Persistent warm, humid southerly flow combined with limited cloud cover and urban heat effects has driven daytime maxima to this exact threshold, consistent with June climatology where averages reach 30–32°C. Recent model runs show minimal deviation in peak readings across official stations. Only revised post-event verification from multiple sensors or unexpected late-day cooling could alter the recorded maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$174,793Дата окончания
11 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 9, 2026, 12:18 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 32°C high in Shenzhen on June 11 centers on real-time observational data and model consensus from agencies tracking subtropical conditions. Persistent warm, humid southerly flow combined with limited cloud cover and urban heat effects has driven daytime maxima to this exact threshold, consistent with June climatology where averages reach 30–32°C. Recent model runs show minimal deviation in peak readings across official stations. Only revised post-event verification from multiple sensors or unexpected late-day cooling could alter the recorded maximum before market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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