Recent model guidance and seasonal norms position 12°C as the leading outcome for Wellington’s June 16 maximum at the airport station, with 11–13°C capturing over 80% of market-implied probability. June climatology shows average highs near 13°C, and NIWA’s April–June outlook assigns the highest likelihood to near-average temperatures across the Wellington region. Short-range forecasts indicate a typical winter pattern with modest northerly flow and possible showers that could limit afternoon warming or allow slight upward revisions depending on cloud cover and wind shifts. Updated MetService runs and the next forecast cycle represent the primary near-term catalysts ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on June 16?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 16?
12°C 37%
13°C 25%
11°C 20%
10°C 3.2%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 июн. 2026 г.
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
3%
11°C
20%
12°C
37%
13°C
25%
14°C
3%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
1%
12°C 37%
13°C 25%
11°C 20%
10°C 3.2%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 июн. 2026 г.
7°C or below
$117 Объем
<1%
8°C
$63 Объем
<1%
9°C
$50 Объем
1%
10°C
$55 Объем
3%
11°C
$44 Объем
20%
12°C
$209 Объем
37%
13°C
$289 Объем
25%
14°C
$677 Объем
3%
15°C
$148 Объем
1%
16°C
$22 Объем
1%
17°C or higher
$15 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance and seasonal norms position 12°C as the leading outcome for Wellington’s June 16 maximum at the airport station, with 11–13°C capturing over 80% of market-implied probability. June climatology shows average highs near 13°C, and NIWA’s April–June outlook assigns the highest likelihood to near-average temperatures across the Wellington region. Short-range forecasts indicate a typical winter pattern with modest northerly flow and possible showers that could limit afternoon warming or allow slight upward revisions depending on cloud cover and wind shifts. Updated MetService runs and the next forecast cycle represent the primary near-term catalysts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Объем
$1,631Дата окончания
16 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance and seasonal norms position 12°C as the leading outcome for Wellington’s June 16 maximum at the airport station, with 11–13°C capturing over 80% of market-implied probability. June climatology shows average highs near 13°C, and NIWA’s April–June outlook assigns the highest likelihood to near-average temperatures across the Wellington region. Short-range forecasts indicate a typical winter pattern with modest northerly flow and possible showers that could limit afternoon warming or allow slight upward revisions depending on cloud cover and wind shifts. Updated MetService runs and the next forecast cycle represent the primary near-term catalysts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,631Дата окончания
16 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model guidance and seasonal norms position 12°C as the leading outcome for Wellington’s June 16 maximum at the airport station, with 11–13°C capturing over 80% of market-implied probability. June climatology shows average highs near 13°C, and NIWA’s April–June outlook assigns the highest likelihood to near-average temperatures across the Wellington region. Short-range forecasts indicate a typical winter pattern with modest northerly flow and possible showers that could limit afternoon warming or allow slight upward revisions depending on cloud cover and wind shifts. Updated MetService runs and the next forecast cycle represent the primary near-term catalysts ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы