Current numerical weather prediction models, including ensemble runs, show Moscow's maximum temperature on June 13 most likely falling between 26°C and 29°C amid a stable warm air mass advecting from the south. This positions the market's closely bunched leading outcomes as a direct reflection of model spread and typical forecast uncertainty for a two-day horizon. Recent observations confirm above-normal warmth persisting after May's record heat, though increasing cloud cover and isolated showers could cap peaks near the lower end of that range. Traders weigh these variables against historical June averages near 22°C, with resolution hinging on official Russian meteorological service measurements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on June 13?
26°C 19%
27°C 18%
28°C 15%
29°C 9%
22°C or below
3%
23°C
3%
24°C
9%
25°C
9%
26°C
19%
27°C
18%
28°C
15%
29°C
9%
30°C
7%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
3%
26°C 19%
27°C 18%
28°C 15%
29°C 9%
22°C or below
3%
23°C
3%
24°C
9%
25°C
9%
26°C
19%
27°C
18%
28°C
15%
29°C
9%
30°C
7%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 11, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models, including ensemble runs, show Moscow's maximum temperature on June 13 most likely falling between 26°C and 29°C amid a stable warm air mass advecting from the south. This positions the market's closely bunched leading outcomes as a direct reflection of model spread and typical forecast uncertainty for a two-day horizon. Recent observations confirm above-normal warmth persisting after May's record heat, though increasing cloud cover and isolated showers could cap peaks near the lower end of that range. Traders weigh these variables against historical June averages near 22°C, with resolution hinging on official Russian meteorological service measurements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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