Official forecasts from MetService and AccuWeather position a 14°C daily maximum as the most likely outcome for Wellington on June 11, aligning with the market's strong 82.5% implied probability for that threshold. Northerly winds developing through the morning under high pressure are expected to moderate temperatures near seasonal norms for early winter, when typical highs range 12–14°C amid variable Cook Strait flows. Model consensus shows limited upward potential to 15°C if afternoon clearing occurs, supporting its secondary 17.5% odds, while colder outcomes remain improbable given stable conditions and no incoming southerly fronts. Updated observations through the day will refine the final recorded peak at the Kelburn station.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on June 11?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 11?
14°C 95%
15°C 4%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
НОВОЕ
$52,167 Объем
НОВОЕ
$52,167 Объем
11 июн. 2026 г.
8°C или ниже
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
95%
15°C
4%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C или выше
<1%
14°C 95%
15°C 4%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
НОВОЕ
$52,167 Объем
НОВОЕ
$52,167 Объем
11 июн. 2026 г.
8°C или ниже
$317 Объем
<1%
9°C
$311 Объем
<1%
10°C
$1,743 Объем
<1%
11°C
$2,590 Объем
<1%
12°C
$6,095 Объем
<1%
13°C
$15,901 Объем
<1%
14°C
$7,682 Объем
95%
15°C
$6,235 Объем
4%
16°C
$7,506 Объем
1%
17°C
$3,670 Объем
<1%
18°C или выше
$615 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from MetService and AccuWeather position a 14°C daily maximum as the most likely outcome for Wellington on June 11, aligning with the market's strong 82.5% implied probability for that threshold. Northerly winds developing through the morning under high pressure are expected to moderate temperatures near seasonal norms for early winter, when typical highs range 12–14°C amid variable Cook Strait flows. Model consensus shows limited upward potential to 15°C if afternoon clearing occurs, supporting its secondary 17.5% odds, while colder outcomes remain improbable given stable conditions and no incoming southerly fronts. Updated observations through the day will refine the final recorded peak at the Kelburn station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Объем
$52,167Дата окончания
11 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from MetService and AccuWeather position a 14°C daily maximum as the most likely outcome for Wellington on June 11, aligning with the market's strong 82.5% implied probability for that threshold. Northerly winds developing through the morning under high pressure are expected to moderate temperatures near seasonal norms for early winter, when typical highs range 12–14°C amid variable Cook Strait flows. Model consensus shows limited upward potential to 15°C if afternoon clearing occurs, supporting its secondary 17.5% odds, while colder outcomes remain improbable given stable conditions and no incoming southerly fronts. Updated observations through the day will refine the final recorded peak at the Kelburn station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$52,167Дата окончания
11 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from MetService and AccuWeather position a 14°C daily maximum as the most likely outcome for Wellington on June 11, aligning with the market's strong 82.5% implied probability for that threshold. Northerly winds developing through the morning under high pressure are expected to moderate temperatures near seasonal norms for early winter, when typical highs range 12–14°C amid variable Cook Strait flows. Model consensus shows limited upward potential to 15°C if afternoon clearing occurs, supporting its secondary 17.5% odds, while colder outcomes remain improbable given stable conditions and no incoming southerly fronts. Updated observations through the day will refine the final recorded peak at the Kelburn station.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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