Trader consensus clusters around 74–77°F lows for June 12 in New York City, driven by National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance projecting overnight minimums in the mid-70s within a warm, humid air mass. High dew points and limited radiative cooling from partial cloud cover or light winds are expected to suppress typical June nighttime drops, consistent with recent heat-index concerns above 90°F. Ensemble spread remains modest, though scattered thunderstorm timing could introduce minor variability in final observations from the official Central Park station. Updated model runs and evening forecasts on June 11 will further refine the range before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 12 июня?
Самая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 12 июня?
74-75°F 28%
76-77°F 27%
80°F или выше 19%
78-79°F 19%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
12 июн. 2026 г.
61°F или ниже
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72–73°F
12%
74-75°F
28%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
19%
80°F или выше
19%
74-75°F 28%
76-77°F 27%
80°F или выше 19%
78-79°F 19%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
12 июн. 2026 г.
61°F или ниже
$281 Объем
<1%
62-63°F
$219 Объем
<1%
64-65°F
$226 Объем
<1%
66-67°F
$507 Объем
1%
68-69°F
$29 Объем
1%
70-71°F
$6 Объем
2%
72–73°F
$16 Объем
12%
74-75°F
$0 Объем
28%
76-77°F
$0 Объем
27%
78-79°F
$16 Объем
19%
80°F или выше
$0 Объем
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters around 74–77°F lows for June 12 in New York City, driven by National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance projecting overnight minimums in the mid-70s within a warm, humid air mass. High dew points and limited radiative cooling from partial cloud cover or light winds are expected to suppress typical June nighttime drops, consistent with recent heat-index concerns above 90°F. Ensemble spread remains modest, though scattered thunderstorm timing could introduce minor variability in final observations from the official Central Park station. Updated model runs and evening forecasts on June 11 will further refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 10, 2026, 8:31 PM ET
Объем
$1,301Дата окончания
12 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 10, 2026, 8:31 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters around 74–77°F lows for June 12 in New York City, driven by National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance projecting overnight minimums in the mid-70s within a warm, humid air mass. High dew points and limited radiative cooling from partial cloud cover or light winds are expected to suppress typical June nighttime drops, consistent with recent heat-index concerns above 90°F. Ensemble spread remains modest, though scattered thunderstorm timing could introduce minor variability in final observations from the official Central Park station. Updated model runs and evening forecasts on June 11 will further refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,301Дата окончания
12 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 10, 2026, 8:31 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters around 74–77°F lows for June 12 in New York City, driven by National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance projecting overnight minimums in the mid-70s within a warm, humid air mass. High dew points and limited radiative cooling from partial cloud cover or light winds are expected to suppress typical June nighttime drops, consistent with recent heat-index concerns above 90°F. Ensemble spread remains modest, though scattered thunderstorm timing could introduce minor variability in final observations from the official Central Park station. Updated model runs and evening forecasts on June 11 will further refine the range before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы