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icon for Самая высокая температура в Сиэтле 15 июня?

Самая высокая температура в Сиэтле 15 июня?

icon for Самая высокая температура в Сиэтле 15 июня?

Самая высокая температура в Сиэтле 15 июня?

июн. 14

июн. 15

июн. 14

июн. 15

90-91°F 39%

88-89°F 30%

92-93°F 11.4%

86-87°F 11%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

90-91°F 39%

88-89°F 30%

92-93°F 11.4%

86-87°F 11%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

83°F или ниже

$520 Объем

2%

84-85°F

$248 Объем

4%

86-87°F

$444 Объем

11%

88-89°F

$188 Объем

30%

90-91°F

$314 Объем

39%

92-93°F

$483 Объем

11%

94-95°F

$153 Объем

2%

96-97°F

$419 Объем

1%

98-99°F

$517 Объем

<1%

100-101°F

$199 Объем

<1%

102°F или выше

$196 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and regional models shows a strong thermal ridge promoting subsidence warming and clear skies over western Washington, driving Seattle's June 15 high into the upper 80s to low 90s amid an ongoing heat wave running 15–20°F above the 71°F seasonal normal. This setup favors peak readings near or above the 88°F record, with 90–91°F edging ahead in trader pricing due to slight model agreement on maximum insolation and limited marine influence. Differentiation between 88–89°F and 90–91°F hinges on small variations in wind direction, boundary-layer mixing, and exact ridge positioning, while lower bins reflect low-probability scenarios of increased cloud cover or earlier sea-breeze moderation. Updated NWS guidance tomorrow morning will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,680
Дата окончания
15 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and regional models shows a strong thermal ridge promoting subsidence warming and clear skies over western Washington, driving Seattle's June 15 high into the upper 80s to low 90s amid an ongoing heat wave running 15–20°F above the 71°F seasonal normal. This setup favors peak readings near or above the 88°F record, with 90–91°F edging ahead in trader pricing due to slight model agreement on maximum insolation and limited marine influence. Differentiation between 88–89°F and 90–91°F hinges on small variations in wind direction, boundary-layer mixing, and exact ridge positioning, while lower bins reflect low-probability scenarios of increased cloud cover or earlier sea-breeze moderation. Updated NWS guidance tomorrow morning will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,680
Дата окончания
15 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая высокая температура в Сиэтле 15 июня?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «90-91°F» с 39%, за ним следует «88-89°F» с 30%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 39¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 39%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Самая высокая температура в Сиэтле 15 июня?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Jun 14, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая высокая температура в Сиэтле 15 июня?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая высокая температура в Сиэтле 15 июня?» — «90-91°F» с 39%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 39%. Следующий ближайший исход — «88-89°F» с 30%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая высокая температура в Сиэтле 15 июня?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.