Current forecast models from agencies and meteorological services converge on a high of 17–18°C for São Paulo on June 15, driven by a cooler air mass and associated frontal passage expected to deliver overcast skies and rain, suppressing daytime warming during Southern Hemisphere winter. This aligns with recent observations of temperatures near 18–21°C earlier in the month and typical June climatology around 21°C, but revised model runs emphasize the moderating effects of cloud cover and precipitation. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 17–19°C range because traders incorporate the latest ensemble guidance showing limited upside potential absent a rapid model shift before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 15 июня?
Самая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 15 июня?
18°C 44%
17°C 26%
19°C 21%
16°C 5.0%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 июн. 2026 г.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
5%
17°C
26%
18°C
44%
19°C
21%
20°C
5%
21°C
2%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 44%
17°C 26%
19°C 21%
16°C 5.0%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 июн. 2026 г.
13°C or below
$52 Объем
<1%
14°C
$68 Объем
<1%
15°C
$34 Объем
<1%
16°C
$198 Объем
5%
17°C
$446 Объем
26%
18°C
$355 Объем
44%
19°C
$643 Объем
21%
20°C
$303 Объем
5%
21°C
$961 Объем
2%
22°C
$53 Объем
<1%
23°C or higher
$186 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies and meteorological services converge on a high of 17–18°C for São Paulo on June 15, driven by a cooler air mass and associated frontal passage expected to deliver overcast skies and rain, suppressing daytime warming during Southern Hemisphere winter. This aligns with recent observations of temperatures near 18–21°C earlier in the month and typical June climatology around 21°C, but revised model runs emphasize the moderating effects of cloud cover and precipitation. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 17–19°C range because traders incorporate the latest ensemble guidance showing limited upside potential absent a rapid model shift before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Объем
$3,078Дата окончания
15 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies and meteorological services converge on a high of 17–18°C for São Paulo on June 15, driven by a cooler air mass and associated frontal passage expected to deliver overcast skies and rain, suppressing daytime warming during Southern Hemisphere winter. This aligns with recent observations of temperatures near 18–21°C earlier in the month and typical June climatology around 21°C, but revised model runs emphasize the moderating effects of cloud cover and precipitation. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 17–19°C range because traders incorporate the latest ensemble guidance showing limited upside potential absent a rapid model shift before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,078Дата окончания
15 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies and meteorological services converge on a high of 17–18°C for São Paulo on June 15, driven by a cooler air mass and associated frontal passage expected to deliver overcast skies and rain, suppressing daytime warming during Southern Hemisphere winter. This aligns with recent observations of temperatures near 18–21°C earlier in the month and typical June climatology around 21°C, but revised model runs emphasize the moderating effects of cloud cover and precipitation. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 17–19°C range because traders incorporate the latest ensemble guidance showing limited upside potential absent a rapid model shift before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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