**Trader consensus strongly favors a 22°C daily maximum in São Paulo on June 14, 2026, at 98.4% implied probability.** Current forecasts from models and agencies align with this outcome, reflecting typical mid-June conditions in the Southern Hemisphere winter when average highs hover near 20–22°C. Recent atmospheric patterns, including a passing cold front and stable high-pressure influence, have kept temperatures moderate with limited diurnal warming and light winds. Official monitoring stations and ensemble guidance show tight clustering around this value, consistent with historical June maxima and current observational trends. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include unexpected model errors in boundary-layer heating, localized urban heat-island effects at the official station, or late-day convective activity altering the recorded peak; however, the narrow spread in guidance makes deviations to 21°C or 23°C low-probability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 14 июня?
Самая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 14 июня?
22°C 98.8%
23°C 1.3%
24°C <1%
26°C <1%
$35,842 Объем
$35,842 Объем
14 июн. 2026 г.
17°C или ниже
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
99%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C или выше
<1%
22°C 98.8%
23°C 1.3%
24°C <1%
26°C <1%
$35,842 Объем
$35,842 Объем
14 июн. 2026 г.
17°C или ниже
$170 Объем
<1%
18°C
$388 Объем
<1%
19°C
$696 Объем
<1%
20°C
$16,566 Объем
<1%
21°C
$2,609 Объем
<1%
22°C
$5,568 Объем
99%
23°C
$3,171 Объем
1%
24°C
$2,770 Объем
<1%
25°C
$1,773 Объем
<1%
26°C
$1,879 Объем
<1%
27°C или выше
$863 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 22°C daily maximum in São Paulo on June 14, 2026, at 98.4% implied probability.** Current forecasts from models and agencies align with this outcome, reflecting typical mid-June conditions in the Southern Hemisphere winter when average highs hover near 20–22°C. Recent atmospheric patterns, including a passing cold front and stable high-pressure influence, have kept temperatures moderate with limited diurnal warming and light winds. Official monitoring stations and ensemble guidance show tight clustering around this value, consistent with historical June maxima and current observational trends. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include unexpected model errors in boundary-layer heating, localized urban heat-island effects at the official station, or late-day convective activity altering the recorded peak; however, the narrow spread in guidance makes deviations to 21°C or 23°C low-probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Объем
$35,842Дата окончания
14 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 22°C daily maximum in São Paulo on June 14, 2026, at 98.4% implied probability.** Current forecasts from models and agencies align with this outcome, reflecting typical mid-June conditions in the Southern Hemisphere winter when average highs hover near 20–22°C. Recent atmospheric patterns, including a passing cold front and stable high-pressure influence, have kept temperatures moderate with limited diurnal warming and light winds. Official monitoring stations and ensemble guidance show tight clustering around this value, consistent with historical June maxima and current observational trends. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include unexpected model errors in boundary-layer heating, localized urban heat-island effects at the official station, or late-day convective activity altering the recorded peak; however, the narrow spread in guidance makes deviations to 21°C or 23°C low-probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$35,842Дата окончания
14 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a 22°C daily maximum in São Paulo on June 14, 2026, at 98.4% implied probability.** Current forecasts from models and agencies align with this outcome, reflecting typical mid-June conditions in the Southern Hemisphere winter when average highs hover near 20–22°C. Recent atmospheric patterns, including a passing cold front and stable high-pressure influence, have kept temperatures moderate with limited diurnal warming and light winds. Official monitoring stations and ensemble guidance show tight clustering around this value, consistent with historical June maxima and current observational trends. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include unexpected model errors in boundary-layer heating, localized urban heat-island effects at the official station, or late-day convective activity altering the recorded peak; however, the narrow spread in guidance makes deviations to 21°C or 23°C low-probability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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