**Trader consensus at 99.7% for a 13°C low on June 14 in Paris reflects the latest official forecast consensus from Météo-France and supporting models, which place the overnight minimum near that threshold under stable high-pressure conditions typical for mid-June.** Historical climatology supports this positioning, with average June lows around 12–14°C, and recent observations show no significant cool advection or cloud cover that would drive temperatures lower. The narrow distribution of probabilities around 13°C indicates minimal model spread and high confidence in the resolution criteria based on the official Paris station reading. A rapid shift in steering patterns or an unexpected radiational cooling event under clearer skies could realistically push the minimum to 12°C or below, though current data show low likelihood of such changes before the daily minimum is recorded.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Париже 14 июня?
Самая низкая температура в Париже 14 июня?
13°C 99.7%
11°C <1%
10°C <1%
12°C <1%
$12,364 Объем
$12,364 Объем
14 июн. 2026 г.
9°C или ниже
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C или выше
<1%
13°C 99.7%
11°C <1%
10°C <1%
12°C <1%
$12,364 Объем
$12,364 Объем
14 июн. 2026 г.
9°C или ниже
$657 Объем
<1%
10°C
$957 Объем
<1%
11°C
$2,070 Объем
1%
12°C
$1,380 Объем
<1%
13°C
$2,608 Объем
100%
14°C
$789 Объем
<1%
15°C
$852 Объем
<1%
16°C
$1,232 Объем
<1%
17°C
$747 Объем
<1%
18°C
$156 Объем
<1%
19°C или выше
$916 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 99.7% for a 13°C low on June 14 in Paris reflects the latest official forecast consensus from Météo-France and supporting models, which place the overnight minimum near that threshold under stable high-pressure conditions typical for mid-June.** Historical climatology supports this positioning, with average June lows around 12–14°C, and recent observations show no significant cool advection or cloud cover that would drive temperatures lower. The narrow distribution of probabilities around 13°C indicates minimal model spread and high confidence in the resolution criteria based on the official Paris station reading. A rapid shift in steering patterns or an unexpected radiational cooling event under clearer skies could realistically push the minimum to 12°C or below, though current data show low likelihood of such changes before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$12,364Дата окончания
14 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 99.7% for a 13°C low on June 14 in Paris reflects the latest official forecast consensus from Météo-France and supporting models, which place the overnight minimum near that threshold under stable high-pressure conditions typical for mid-June.** Historical climatology supports this positioning, with average June lows around 12–14°C, and recent observations show no significant cool advection or cloud cover that would drive temperatures lower. The narrow distribution of probabilities around 13°C indicates minimal model spread and high confidence in the resolution criteria based on the official Paris station reading. A rapid shift in steering patterns or an unexpected radiational cooling event under clearer skies could realistically push the minimum to 12°C or below, though current data show low likelihood of such changes before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$12,364Дата окончания
14 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus at 99.7% for a 13°C low on June 14 in Paris reflects the latest official forecast consensus from Météo-France and supporting models, which place the overnight minimum near that threshold under stable high-pressure conditions typical for mid-June.** Historical climatology supports this positioning, with average June lows around 12–14°C, and recent observations show no significant cool advection or cloud cover that would drive temperatures lower. The narrow distribution of probabilities around 13°C indicates minimal model spread and high confidence in the resolution criteria based on the official Paris station reading. A rapid shift in steering patterns or an unexpected radiational cooling event under clearer skies could realistically push the minimum to 12°C or below, though current data show low likelihood of such changes before the daily minimum is recorded.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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