Latest ensemble forecasts from major global models place Milan's June 17 maximum near 32–33 °C, reflecting the market's near-even split between those two outcomes. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the western Mediterranean is promoting subsidence and warm-air advection across the Po Valley, while Milan’s urban heat island adds 1–2 °C to official station readings. Model spread remains modest but centers on this narrow range, with limited potential for 34 °C or higher unless daytime insolation exceeds expectations or boundary-layer mixing weakens. Historical mid-June climatology for the city peaks around 26–28 °C, underscoring the anomalous warmth currently priced in. Updated high-resolution runs and the afternoon observation window will determine final resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Milan on June 17?
Highest temperature in Milan on June 17?
32°C 35%
33°C 35%
34°C 14%
31°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 июн. 2026 г.
29°C or below
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
12%
32°C
35%
33°C
35%
34°C
14%
35°C
4%
36°C
3%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 35%
33°C 35%
34°C 14%
31°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 июн. 2026 г.
29°C or below
$126 Объем
1%
30°C
$19 Объем
3%
31°C
$61 Объем
12%
32°C
$55 Объем
35%
33°C
$83 Объем
35%
34°C
$5 Объем
14%
35°C
$0 Объем
4%
36°C
$1 Объем
3%
37°C
$0 Объем
<1%
38°C
$20 Объем
<1%
39°C or higher
$47 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from major global models place Milan's June 17 maximum near 32–33 °C, reflecting the market's near-even split between those two outcomes. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the western Mediterranean is promoting subsidence and warm-air advection across the Po Valley, while Milan’s urban heat island adds 1–2 °C to official station readings. Model spread remains modest but centers on this narrow range, with limited potential for 34 °C or higher unless daytime insolation exceeds expectations or boundary-layer mixing weakens. Historical mid-June climatology for the city peaks around 26–28 °C, underscoring the anomalous warmth currently priced in. Updated high-resolution runs and the afternoon observation window will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Объем
$419Дата окончания
17 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from major global models place Milan's June 17 maximum near 32–33 °C, reflecting the market's near-even split between those two outcomes. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the western Mediterranean is promoting subsidence and warm-air advection across the Po Valley, while Milan’s urban heat island adds 1–2 °C to official station readings. Model spread remains modest but centers on this narrow range, with limited potential for 34 °C or higher unless daytime insolation exceeds expectations or boundary-layer mixing weakens. Historical mid-June climatology for the city peaks around 26–28 °C, underscoring the anomalous warmth currently priced in. Updated high-resolution runs and the afternoon observation window will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$419Дата окончания
17 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from major global models place Milan's June 17 maximum near 32–33 °C, reflecting the market's near-even split between those two outcomes. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the western Mediterranean is promoting subsidence and warm-air advection across the Po Valley, while Milan’s urban heat island adds 1–2 °C to official station readings. Model spread remains modest but centers on this narrow range, with limited potential for 34 °C or higher unless daytime insolation exceeds expectations or boundary-layer mixing weakens. Historical mid-June climatology for the city peaks around 26–28 °C, underscoring the anomalous warmth currently priced in. Updated high-resolution runs and the afternoon observation window will determine final resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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