The marine layer over the Pacific, strengthened by cool sea-surface temperatures and upwelling from the California Current, remains the dominant control on San Francisco’s June 14 high, capping afternoon warming through persistent low stratus and fog. Onshore flow and the strength of the temperature inversion determine whether the layer mixes out by midday or lingers, producing the narrow spread between the 70–71 °F and 72–73 °F brackets that together exceed 69 % implied probability. Model consensus from NOAA and local NWS guidance currently favors modest clearing, yet small shifts in wind direction or inversion depth can easily swing the daily maximum by 2–3 °F. Traders are therefore weighting the likelihood of partial marine-layer erosion against historical June climatology near 68 °F at KSFO.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in San Francisco on June 14?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on June 14?
72-73°F 49%
70-71°F 34%
68-69°F 10.8%
74-75°F 8%
$19,691 Объем
$19,691 Объем
14 июн. 2026 г.
67°F or below
5%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
34%
72-73°F
49%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
1%
72-73°F 49%
70-71°F 34%
68-69°F 10.8%
74-75°F 8%
$19,691 Объем
$19,691 Объем
14 июн. 2026 г.
67°F or below
$2,166 Объем
5%
68-69°F
$1,941 Объем
11%
70-71°F
$885 Объем
34%
72-73°F
$1,368 Объем
49%
74-75°F
$1,960 Объем
8%
76-77°F
$1,791 Объем
2%
78-79°F
$3,608 Объем
1%
80-81°F
$3,006 Объем
1%
82-83°F
$1,999 Объем
<1%
84-85°F
$839 Объем
<1%
86°F or higher
$523 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The marine layer over the Pacific, strengthened by cool sea-surface temperatures and upwelling from the California Current, remains the dominant control on San Francisco’s June 14 high, capping afternoon warming through persistent low stratus and fog. Onshore flow and the strength of the temperature inversion determine whether the layer mixes out by midday or lingers, producing the narrow spread between the 70–71 °F and 72–73 °F brackets that together exceed 69 % implied probability. Model consensus from NOAA and local NWS guidance currently favors modest clearing, yet small shifts in wind direction or inversion depth can easily swing the daily maximum by 2–3 °F. Traders are therefore weighting the likelihood of partial marine-layer erosion against historical June climatology near 68 °F at KSFO.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 12, 2026, 9:08 PM ET
Объем
$19,691Дата окончания
14 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 12, 2026, 9:08 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The marine layer over the Pacific, strengthened by cool sea-surface temperatures and upwelling from the California Current, remains the dominant control on San Francisco’s June 14 high, capping afternoon warming through persistent low stratus and fog. Onshore flow and the strength of the temperature inversion determine whether the layer mixes out by midday or lingers, producing the narrow spread between the 70–71 °F and 72–73 °F brackets that together exceed 69 % implied probability. Model consensus from NOAA and local NWS guidance currently favors modest clearing, yet small shifts in wind direction or inversion depth can easily swing the daily maximum by 2–3 °F. Traders are therefore weighting the likelihood of partial marine-layer erosion against historical June climatology near 68 °F at KSFO.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$19,691Дата окончания
14 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 12, 2026, 9:08 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...The marine layer over the Pacific, strengthened by cool sea-surface temperatures and upwelling from the California Current, remains the dominant control on San Francisco’s June 14 high, capping afternoon warming through persistent low stratus and fog. Onshore flow and the strength of the temperature inversion determine whether the layer mixes out by midday or lingers, producing the narrow spread between the 70–71 °F and 72–73 °F brackets that together exceed 69 % implied probability. Model consensus from NOAA and local NWS guidance currently favors modest clearing, yet small shifts in wind direction or inversion depth can easily swing the daily maximum by 2–3 °F. Traders are therefore weighting the likelihood of partial marine-layer erosion against historical June climatology near 68 °F at KSFO.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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