Current forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble runs indicate a minimum temperature in Tokyo on June 15 most likely between 17–19°C, driven by widespread cloud cover and light rain associated with the ongoing East Asian monsoon (tsuyu) pattern that suppresses daytime heating and limits radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with climatological norms for mid-June, when average lows hover near 18–19°C amid rising humidity and frequent frontal activity. Recent model updates have shown slight cooling trends from increased precipitation chances, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 18°C (47%) and 19°C (30%) outcomes while leaving modest room for 17°C if showers intensify. Traders are monitoring the next JMA update for any shifts in steering flow or moisture that could alter the overnight minimum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Токио 15 июня?
Самая низкая температура в Токио 15 июня?
18°C 47%
19°C 31%
17°C 22%
16°C 5.1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 июн. 2026 г.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
5%
17°C
22%
18°C
47%
19°C
31%
20°C
4%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 47%
19°C 31%
17°C 22%
16°C 5.1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 июн. 2026 г.
13°C or below
$525 Объем
<1%
14°C
$1,002 Объем
<1%
15°C
$507 Объем
<1%
16°C
$114 Объем
5%
17°C
$56 Объем
22%
18°C
$61 Объем
47%
19°C
$176 Объем
31%
20°C
$78 Объем
4%
21°C
$408 Объем
<1%
22°C
$592 Объем
<1%
23°C or higher
$387 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble runs indicate a minimum temperature in Tokyo on June 15 most likely between 17–19°C, driven by widespread cloud cover and light rain associated with the ongoing East Asian monsoon (tsuyu) pattern that suppresses daytime heating and limits radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with climatological norms for mid-June, when average lows hover near 18–19°C amid rising humidity and frequent frontal activity. Recent model updates have shown slight cooling trends from increased precipitation chances, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 18°C (47%) and 19°C (30%) outcomes while leaving modest room for 17°C if showers intensify. Traders are monitoring the next JMA update for any shifts in steering flow or moisture that could alter the overnight minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Объем
$3,905Дата окончания
15 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble runs indicate a minimum temperature in Tokyo on June 15 most likely between 17–19°C, driven by widespread cloud cover and light rain associated with the ongoing East Asian monsoon (tsuyu) pattern that suppresses daytime heating and limits radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with climatological norms for mid-June, when average lows hover near 18–19°C amid rising humidity and frequent frontal activity. Recent model updates have shown slight cooling trends from increased precipitation chances, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 18°C (47%) and 19°C (30%) outcomes while leaving modest room for 17°C if showers intensify. Traders are monitoring the next JMA update for any shifts in steering flow or moisture that could alter the overnight minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,905Дата окончания
15 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble runs indicate a minimum temperature in Tokyo on June 15 most likely between 17–19°C, driven by widespread cloud cover and light rain associated with the ongoing East Asian monsoon (tsuyu) pattern that suppresses daytime heating and limits radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with climatological norms for mid-June, when average lows hover near 18–19°C amid rising humidity and frequent frontal activity. Recent model updates have shown slight cooling trends from increased precipitation chances, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 18°C (47%) and 19°C (30%) outcomes while leaving modest room for 17°C if showers intensify. Traders are monitoring the next JMA update for any shifts in steering flow or moisture that could alter the overnight minimum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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