The closely matched trader probabilities for 30–31°C as the daily maximum in Panama City on July 24 stem from typical wet-season variability, where average July highs hover near 30°C amid high humidity and frequent afternoon convection. Recent model guidance shows no significant deviations from climatological norms, with cloud cover, scattered showers, and trade-wind patterns likely capping or slightly elevating peaks depending on timing of rainfall. These factors create genuine uncertainty around the 1°C threshold, as modest differences in insolation or storm development can shift the observed high between 29–32°C. Official station data from Panama’s meteorological service will determine resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Панама-Сити 24 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Панама-Сити 24 июля?
31°C 34%
30°C 31%
29°C 17%
32°C 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 июл. 2026 г.
24 °C или ниже
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
17%
30°C
31%
31°C
34%
32°C
14%
33°C
3%
34°C или выше
1%
31°C 34%
30°C 31%
29°C 17%
32°C 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 июл. 2026 г.
24 °C или ниже
$71 Объем
<1%
25°C
$97 Объем
1%
26°C
$73 Объем
1%
27°C
$84 Объем
1%
28°C
$65 Объем
4%
29°C
$336 Объем
17%
30°C
$139 Объем
31%
31°C
$131 Объем
34%
32°C
$141 Объем
14%
33°C
$55 Объем
3%
34°C или выше
$122 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched trader probabilities for 30–31°C as the daily maximum in Panama City on July 24 stem from typical wet-season variability, where average July highs hover near 30°C amid high humidity and frequent afternoon convection. Recent model guidance shows no significant deviations from climatological norms, with cloud cover, scattered showers, and trade-wind patterns likely capping or slightly elevating peaks depending on timing of rainfall. These factors create genuine uncertainty around the 1°C threshold, as modest differences in insolation or storm development can shift the observed high between 29–32°C. Official station data from Panama’s meteorological service will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 22, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Объем
$1,302Дата окончания
24 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 22, 2026, 9:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched trader probabilities for 30–31°C as the daily maximum in Panama City on July 24 stem from typical wet-season variability, where average July highs hover near 30°C amid high humidity and frequent afternoon convection. Recent model guidance shows no significant deviations from climatological norms, with cloud cover, scattered showers, and trade-wind patterns likely capping or slightly elevating peaks depending on timing of rainfall. These factors create genuine uncertainty around the 1°C threshold, as modest differences in insolation or storm development can shift the observed high between 29–32°C. Official station data from Panama’s meteorological service will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,302Дата окончания
24 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 22, 2026, 9:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched trader probabilities for 30–31°C as the daily maximum in Panama City on July 24 stem from typical wet-season variability, where average July highs hover near 30°C amid high humidity and frequent afternoon convection. Recent model guidance shows no significant deviations from climatological norms, with cloud cover, scattered showers, and trade-wind patterns likely capping or slightly elevating peaks depending on timing of rainfall. These factors create genuine uncertainty around the 1°C threshold, as modest differences in insolation or storm development can shift the observed high between 29–32°C. Official station data from Panama’s meteorological service will determine resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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