Cloud cover and scattered rainfall tied to the East Asian summer monsoon are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds clustered around 25–29°C for Seoul’s July 23 maximum. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlights persistent clouds and showers that limit solar heating, while ensemble models show modest spread in afternoon instability and timing of any breaks. Typical July climatology places mean highs near 30–31°C, but enhanced moisture and reduced insolation this period favor slightly cooler peaks; outcomes above 30°C require clearer skies and stronger subsidence not currently favored in most runs. Traders weigh the latest model updates and observed trends in regional steering patterns ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сеуле 23 июля?
28°C 30%
27°C 29%
29°C 19%
26°C 14%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
14%
27°C
29%
28°C
30%
29°C
19%
30°C or higher
6%
28°C 30%
27°C 29%
29°C 19%
26°C 14%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
14%
27°C
29%
28°C
30%
29°C
19%
30°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cloud cover and scattered rainfall tied to the East Asian summer monsoon are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds clustered around 25–29°C for Seoul’s July 23 maximum. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlights persistent clouds and showers that limit solar heating, while ensemble models show modest spread in afternoon instability and timing of any breaks. Typical July climatology places mean highs near 30–31°C, but enhanced moisture and reduced insolation this period favor slightly cooler peaks; outcomes above 30°C require clearer skies and stronger subsidence not currently favored in most runs. Traders weigh the latest model updates and observed trends in regional steering patterns ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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