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icon for Самая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 21 июля?

Самая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 21 июля?

icon for Самая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 21 июля?

Самая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 21 июля?

июл. 20

июл. 21

июл. 20

июл. 21

31°C 34%

32°C 22%

30°C 21%

29°C 13%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

31°C 34%

32°C 22%

30°C 21%

29°C 13%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

25°C or below

$128 Объем

<1%

26°C

$241 Объем

<1%

27°C

$109 Объем

<1%

28°C

$388 Объем

3%

29°C

$701 Объем

13%

30°C

$758 Объем

21%

31°C

$311 Объем

34%

32°C

$931 Объем

22%

33°C

$531 Объем

8%

34°C

$655 Объем

2%

35°C or higher

$512 Объем

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Shenzhen indicate daily maximum temperatures of 30–32°C on July 21 under typical subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity, monsoon moisture, and scattered thunderstorms that can limit afternoon heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent patterns show consistent highs near 32°C, though convective activity and variable wind flow introduce uncertainty in peak readings measured at official stations. Trader consensus around these central outcomes reflects model spread in timing and intensity of rainfall, with historical July averages of 31–33°C providing context for the narrow distribution. Updated numerical guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$5,264
Дата окончания
21 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 19, 2026, 12:05 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Shenzhen indicate daily maximum temperatures of 30–32°C on July 21 under typical subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity, monsoon moisture, and scattered thunderstorms that can limit afternoon heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent patterns show consistent highs near 32°C, though convective activity and variable wind flow introduce uncertainty in peak readings measured at official stations. Trader consensus around these central outcomes reflects model spread in timing and intensity of rainfall, with historical July averages of 31–33°C providing context for the narrow distribution. Updated numerical guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$5,264
Дата окончания
21 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 19, 2026, 12:05 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 21 июля?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «31°C» с 34%, за ним следует «32°C» с 22%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 34¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 34%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Самая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 21 июля?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Jul 19, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 21 июля?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 21 июля?» — «31°C» с 34%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 34%. Следующий ближайший исход — «32°C» с 22%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 21 июля?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.