Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate persistently warm overnight conditions across the Kanto region, supporting trader consensus around a 27–28°C minimum on July 21. High pressure and limited cloud cover have maintained elevated dew points and reduced radiative cooling, while regional sea-surface temperatures remain above seasonal norms. These factors differentiate the closely matched 27°C and 28°C outcomes, as small shifts in wind direction or boundary-layer moisture could alter the low by 1°C. Updated runs from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, expected within the next 24 hours, will likely refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum recorded at the Tokyo station.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Токио 21 июля?
Самая низкая температура в Токио 21 июля?
27°C 54%
28°C 39%
26°C 5%
29°C 3.9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 июл. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
54%
28°C
39%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C или выше
<1%
27°C 54%
28°C 39%
26°C 5%
29°C 3.9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 июл. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
$68 Объем
<1%
23°C
$147 Объем
1%
24°C
$23 Объем
3%
25°C
$5 Объем
2%
26°C
$5 Объем
5%
27°C
$47 Объем
54%
28°C
$672 Объем
39%
29°C
$5 Объем
4%
30°C
$349 Объем
1%
31°C
$228 Объем
<1%
32°C или выше
$132 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate persistently warm overnight conditions across the Kanto region, supporting trader consensus around a 27–28°C minimum on July 21. High pressure and limited cloud cover have maintained elevated dew points and reduced radiative cooling, while regional sea-surface temperatures remain above seasonal norms. These factors differentiate the closely matched 27°C and 28°C outcomes, as small shifts in wind direction or boundary-layer moisture could alter the low by 1°C. Updated runs from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, expected within the next 24 hours, will likely refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum recorded at the Tokyo station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$1,680Дата окончания
21 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate persistently warm overnight conditions across the Kanto region, supporting trader consensus around a 27–28°C minimum on July 21. High pressure and limited cloud cover have maintained elevated dew points and reduced radiative cooling, while regional sea-surface temperatures remain above seasonal norms. These factors differentiate the closely matched 27°C and 28°C outcomes, as small shifts in wind direction or boundary-layer moisture could alter the low by 1°C. Updated runs from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, expected within the next 24 hours, will likely refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum recorded at the Tokyo station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,680Дата окончания
21 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate persistently warm overnight conditions across the Kanto region, supporting trader consensus around a 27–28°C minimum on July 21. High pressure and limited cloud cover have maintained elevated dew points and reduced radiative cooling, while regional sea-surface temperatures remain above seasonal norms. These factors differentiate the closely matched 27°C and 28°C outcomes, as small shifts in wind direction or boundary-layer moisture could alter the low by 1°C. Updated runs from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, expected within the next 24 hours, will likely refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum recorded at the Tokyo station.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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