Recent model runs from regional meteorological services indicate a stable high-pressure system over the eastern Mediterranean, favoring clear skies and light northerly winds that limit marine cooling for Istanbul on July 21. Ensemble forecasts show maximum temperatures clustering near 29–30°C, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 50.5% and 32.5% implied probability. Daytime solar insolation peaks near summer solstice values while dew points remain moderate, supporting modest diurnal ranges. Minor uncertainty stems from possible afternoon sea-breeze strengthening or thin high cloud, which could cap readings at 28°C or allow a brief push toward 31°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will further refine these thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Стамбуле 21 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Стамбуле 21 июля?
29°C 48%
28°C 22%
30°C 21%
27°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 июл. 2026 г.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
7%
28°C
22%
29°C
48%
30°C
21%
31°C
5%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C или выше
<1%
29°C 48%
28°C 22%
30°C 21%
27°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 июл. 2026 г.
24°C or below
$311 Объем
<1%
25°C
$229 Объем
<1%
26°C
$73 Объем
1%
27°C
$104 Объем
7%
28°C
$228 Объем
22%
29°C
$4,215 Объем
48%
30°C
$1,724 Объем
21%
31°C
$361 Объем
5%
32°C
$116 Объем
2%
33°C
$232 Объем
1%
34°C или выше
$182 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from regional meteorological services indicate a stable high-pressure system over the eastern Mediterranean, favoring clear skies and light northerly winds that limit marine cooling for Istanbul on July 21. Ensemble forecasts show maximum temperatures clustering near 29–30°C, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 50.5% and 32.5% implied probability. Daytime solar insolation peaks near summer solstice values while dew points remain moderate, supporting modest diurnal ranges. Minor uncertainty stems from possible afternoon sea-breeze strengthening or thin high cloud, which could cap readings at 28°C or allow a brief push toward 31°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will further refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 19, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Объем
$7,719Дата окончания
21 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 19, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from regional meteorological services indicate a stable high-pressure system over the eastern Mediterranean, favoring clear skies and light northerly winds that limit marine cooling for Istanbul on July 21. Ensemble forecasts show maximum temperatures clustering near 29–30°C, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 50.5% and 32.5% implied probability. Daytime solar insolation peaks near summer solstice values while dew points remain moderate, supporting modest diurnal ranges. Minor uncertainty stems from possible afternoon sea-breeze strengthening or thin high cloud, which could cap readings at 28°C or allow a brief push toward 31°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will further refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$7,719Дата окончания
21 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 19, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs from regional meteorological services indicate a stable high-pressure system over the eastern Mediterranean, favoring clear skies and light northerly winds that limit marine cooling for Istanbul on July 21. Ensemble forecasts show maximum temperatures clustering near 29–30°C, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 50.5% and 32.5% implied probability. Daytime solar insolation peaks near summer solstice values while dew points remain moderate, supporting modest diurnal ranges. Minor uncertainty stems from possible afternoon sea-breeze strengthening or thin high cloud, which could cap readings at 28°C or allow a brief push toward 31°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will further refine these thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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