Latest ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate peak temperatures in Busan on July 21 will likely reach 31–33°C under the influence of a strengthening subtropical high, with mostly sunny conditions favoring strong diurnal heating. Coastal sea breezes and residual monsoon moisture introduce key uncertainty, potentially capping the maximum below model consensus or allowing brief exceedances in urban areas. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 32°C because recent runs show modest upward revisions from prior days amid stable atmospheric patterns, while the tight spread between 32°C and 33°C reflects model spread on boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours from KMA could further narrow outcomes ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Пусане 21 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Пусане 21 июля?
32°C 44%
33°C 28%
31°C 26%
30°C 3.8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 июл. 2026 г.
26°C или ниже
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
26%
32°C
44%
33°C
28%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C или выше
1%
32°C 44%
33°C 28%
31°C 26%
30°C 3.8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 июл. 2026 г.
26°C или ниже
$81 Объем
<1%
27°C
$77 Объем
<1%
28°C
$173 Объем
<1%
29°C
$266 Объем
<1%
30°C
$154 Объем
4%
31°C
$310 Объем
26%
32°C
$5,647 Объем
44%
33°C
$905 Объем
28%
34°C
$413 Объем
3%
35°C
$86 Объем
<1%
36°C или выше
$195 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate peak temperatures in Busan on July 21 will likely reach 31–33°C under the influence of a strengthening subtropical high, with mostly sunny conditions favoring strong diurnal heating. Coastal sea breezes and residual monsoon moisture introduce key uncertainty, potentially capping the maximum below model consensus or allowing brief exceedances in urban areas. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 32°C because recent runs show modest upward revisions from prior days amid stable atmospheric patterns, while the tight spread between 32°C and 33°C reflects model spread on boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours from KMA could further narrow outcomes ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 19, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Объем
$8,307Дата окончания
21 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 19, 2026, 12:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate peak temperatures in Busan on July 21 will likely reach 31–33°C under the influence of a strengthening subtropical high, with mostly sunny conditions favoring strong diurnal heating. Coastal sea breezes and residual monsoon moisture introduce key uncertainty, potentially capping the maximum below model consensus or allowing brief exceedances in urban areas. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 32°C because recent runs show modest upward revisions from prior days amid stable atmospheric patterns, while the tight spread between 32°C and 33°C reflects model spread on boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours from KMA could further narrow outcomes ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$8,307Дата окончания
21 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 19, 2026, 12:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate peak temperatures in Busan on July 21 will likely reach 31–33°C under the influence of a strengthening subtropical high, with mostly sunny conditions favoring strong diurnal heating. Coastal sea breezes and residual monsoon moisture introduce key uncertainty, potentially capping the maximum below model consensus or allowing brief exceedances in urban areas. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 32°C because recent runs show modest upward revisions from prior days amid stable atmospheric patterns, while the tight spread between 32°C and 33°C reflects model spread on boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours from KMA could further narrow outcomes ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы