Ensemble forecasts from sources including the Met Office and timeanddate.com point to a July 11 maximum in the 34–37°C range for Shenzhen, aligning with trader clustering around 34–35°C amid subtropical monsoon conditions. Key differentiators include timing and intensity of afternoon convection tied to South China Sea moisture, cloud cover reducing solar insolation, and urban heat island effects that can add 1–2°C locally. Recent early-July tropical depression activity may leave residual humidity or steering influences, while climatological July averages near 32°C highlight how small shifts in boundary-layer mixing or precipitation suppress or elevate peaks. Updated CMA and ECMWF short-range runs remain the primary near-term catalyst before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 11 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 11 июля?
34°C 29%
35°C 21%
36°C 20%
33°C 13%
НОВОЕ
$13,325 Объем
НОВОЕ
$13,325 Объем
11 июл. 2026 г.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
4%
33°C
13%
34°C
29%
35°C
21%
36°C
20%
37°C
6%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 29%
35°C 21%
36°C 20%
33°C 13%
НОВОЕ
$13,325 Объем
НОВОЕ
$13,325 Объем
11 июл. 2026 г.
29°C or below
$1,974 Объем
<1%
30°C
$1,269 Объем
1%
31°C
$516 Объем
3%
32°C
$515 Объем
4%
33°C
$984 Объем
13%
34°C
$796 Объем
29%
35°C
$4,171 Объем
21%
36°C
$511 Объем
20%
37°C
$661 Объем
6%
38°C
$452 Объем
4%
39°C or higher
$1,475 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from sources including the Met Office and timeanddate.com point to a July 11 maximum in the 34–37°C range for Shenzhen, aligning with trader clustering around 34–35°C amid subtropical monsoon conditions. Key differentiators include timing and intensity of afternoon convection tied to South China Sea moisture, cloud cover reducing solar insolation, and urban heat island effects that can add 1–2°C locally. Recent early-July tropical depression activity may leave residual humidity or steering influences, while climatological July averages near 32°C highlight how small shifts in boundary-layer mixing or precipitation suppress or elevate peaks. Updated CMA and ECMWF short-range runs remain the primary near-term catalyst before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$13,325Дата окончания
11 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from sources including the Met Office and timeanddate.com point to a July 11 maximum in the 34–37°C range for Shenzhen, aligning with trader clustering around 34–35°C amid subtropical monsoon conditions. Key differentiators include timing and intensity of afternoon convection tied to South China Sea moisture, cloud cover reducing solar insolation, and urban heat island effects that can add 1–2°C locally. Recent early-July tropical depression activity may leave residual humidity or steering influences, while climatological July averages near 32°C highlight how small shifts in boundary-layer mixing or precipitation suppress or elevate peaks. Updated CMA and ECMWF short-range runs remain the primary near-term catalyst before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$13,325Дата окончания
11 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from sources including the Met Office and timeanddate.com point to a July 11 maximum in the 34–37°C range for Shenzhen, aligning with trader clustering around 34–35°C amid subtropical monsoon conditions. Key differentiators include timing and intensity of afternoon convection tied to South China Sea moisture, cloud cover reducing solar insolation, and urban heat island effects that can add 1–2°C locally. Recent early-July tropical depression activity may leave residual humidity or steering influences, while climatological July averages near 32°C highlight how small shifts in boundary-layer mixing or precipitation suppress or elevate peaks. Updated CMA and ECMWF short-range runs remain the primary near-term catalyst before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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