Current short-term forecasts for Wellington indicate a maximum of 11–12°C on July 25, aligning with the market’s leading 12°C outcome at 48.5% implied probability. Typical mid-winter conditions prevail, with average July highs near 12°C, supported by NIWA’s May–July outlook favoring near- or below-average temperatures amid possible cold southerly flows. Wellington’s exposed coastal location and frequent strong winds can produce rapid diurnal shifts or brief warming, keeping 13°C as a close second at 36%. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours from MetService or NIWA will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 25 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 25 июля?
12°C 46%
13°C 27%
11°C 23%
14°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 июл. 2026 г.
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
23%
12°C
46%
13°C
27%
14°C
9%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
12°C 46%
13°C 27%
11°C 23%
14°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 июл. 2026 г.
7°C or below
$241 Объем
<1%
8°C
$747 Объем
<1%
9°C
$986 Объем
<1%
10°C
$948 Объем
<1%
11°C
$1,314 Объем
23%
12°C
$1,386 Объем
46%
13°C
$1,387 Объем
27%
14°C
$905 Объем
9%
15°C
$572 Объем
<1%
16°C
$463 Объем
<1%
17°C or higher
$376 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts for Wellington indicate a maximum of 11–12°C on July 25, aligning with the market’s leading 12°C outcome at 48.5% implied probability. Typical mid-winter conditions prevail, with average July highs near 12°C, supported by NIWA’s May–July outlook favoring near- or below-average temperatures amid possible cold southerly flows. Wellington’s exposed coastal location and frequent strong winds can produce rapid diurnal shifts or brief warming, keeping 13°C as a close second at 36%. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours from MetService or NIWA will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 23, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Объем
$9,325Дата окончания
25 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 23, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts for Wellington indicate a maximum of 11–12°C on July 25, aligning with the market’s leading 12°C outcome at 48.5% implied probability. Typical mid-winter conditions prevail, with average July highs near 12°C, supported by NIWA’s May–July outlook favoring near- or below-average temperatures amid possible cold southerly flows. Wellington’s exposed coastal location and frequent strong winds can produce rapid diurnal shifts or brief warming, keeping 13°C as a close second at 36%. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours from MetService or NIWA will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$9,325Дата окончания
25 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 23, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-term forecasts for Wellington indicate a maximum of 11–12°C on July 25, aligning with the market’s leading 12°C outcome at 48.5% implied probability. Typical mid-winter conditions prevail, with average July highs near 12°C, supported by NIWA’s May–July outlook favoring near- or below-average temperatures amid possible cold southerly flows. Wellington’s exposed coastal location and frequent strong winds can produce rapid diurnal shifts or brief warming, keeping 13°C as a close second at 36%. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours from MetService or NIWA will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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