Moonshot AI's April 20, 2026, release of the open-source Kimi k2.6 large language model—dominating benchmarks like SWE-Bench (58.6%) and long-horizon execution with 4,000+ tool calls—demonstrates its rapid iteration cadence, sustaining trader optimism for the next-gen Kimi K3 despite no firm announcement. Bolstered by a $500 million Series C funding round in January earmarked for K3 development and expanded compute clusters, the model is rumored to feature 2.5 trillion parameters, over 1 million token context windows, and advanced agentic capabilities to rival global frontiers like Claude and GPT. Competitive pressures in China's AI ecosystem, including rivals' parameter escalations, heighten urgency, with traders eyeing potential roadmap reveals or prefill/decode scaling demos as pivotal catalysts ahead of summer timelines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоKimi K3 released by…?
Kimi K3 released by…?
$39,702 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
June 30
11%
31 мая
6%
$39,702 Объем
June 30
$3,664 Объем
11%
31 мая
$2,929 Объем
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI's April 20, 2026, release of the open-source Kimi k2.6 large language model—dominating benchmarks like SWE-Bench (58.6%) and long-horizon execution with 4,000+ tool calls—demonstrates its rapid iteration cadence, sustaining trader optimism for the next-gen Kimi K3 despite no firm announcement. Bolstered by a $500 million Series C funding round in January earmarked for K3 development and expanded compute clusters, the model is rumored to feature 2.5 trillion parameters, over 1 million token context windows, and advanced agentic capabilities to rival global frontiers like Claude and GPT. Competitive pressures in China's AI ecosystem, including rivals' parameter escalations, heighten urgency, with traders eyeing potential roadmap reveals or prefill/decode scaling demos as pivotal catalysts ahead of summer timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Apr 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
Объем
$39,702Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI's April 20, 2026, release of the open-source Kimi k2.6 large language model—dominating benchmarks like SWE-Bench (58.6%) and long-horizon execution with 4,000+ tool calls—demonstrates its rapid iteration cadence, sustaining trader optimism for the next-gen Kimi K3 despite no firm announcement. Bolstered by a $500 million Series C funding round in January earmarked for K3 development and expanded compute clusters, the model is rumored to feature 2.5 trillion parameters, over 1 million token context windows, and advanced agentic capabilities to rival global frontiers like Claude and GPT. Competitive pressures in China's AI ecosystem, including rivals' parameter escalations, heighten urgency, with traders eyeing potential roadmap reveals or prefill/decode scaling demos as pivotal catalysts ahead of summer timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$39,702Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Moonshot AI's April 20, 2026, release of the open-source Kimi k2.6 large language model—dominating benchmarks like SWE-Bench (58.6%) and long-horizon execution with 4,000+ tool calls—demonstrates its rapid iteration cadence, sustaining trader optimism for the next-gen Kimi K3 despite no firm announcement. Bolstered by a $500 million Series C funding round in January earmarked for K3 development and expanded compute clusters, the model is rumored to feature 2.5 trillion parameters, over 1 million token context windows, and advanced agentic capabilities to rival global frontiers like Claude and GPT. Competitive pressures in China's AI ecosystem, including rivals' parameter escalations, heighten urgency, with traders eyeing potential roadmap reveals or prefill/decode scaling demos as pivotal catalysts ahead of summer timelines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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