Recent Met Office and European model guidance points to a minimum temperature near 17–19°C in London on June 28 amid a post-heatwave cooling trend, with high pressure giving way to increased cloud cover and lighter winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. Trader consensus clustering on 18°C (45.5%) and 19°C (36%) reflects this narrow range, while the 15°C-or-below option at 19.5% accounts for possible clearer skies enhancing heat loss. Key differentiators include forecast variability in low-level humidity and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C, alongside the typical 1–2°C urban heat-island effect in central London versus airport sites used for official readings. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоLowest temperature in London on June 28?
Lowest temperature in London on June 28?
19°C 54%
18°C 26%
20°C 10.9%
17°C 5.8%
$30,091 Объем
$30,091 Объем
28 июн. 2026 г.
15°C or below
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
6%
18°C
26%
19°C
54%
20°C
11%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
19°C 54%
18°C 26%
20°C 10.9%
17°C 5.8%
$30,091 Объем
$30,091 Объем
28 июн. 2026 г.
15°C or below
$3,893 Объем
1%
16°C
$1,144 Объем
1%
17°C
$672 Объем
6%
18°C
$2,892 Объем
26%
19°C
$2,652 Объем
54%
20°C
$3,598 Объем
11%
21°C
$7,237 Объем
<1%
22°C
$1,658 Объем
<1%
23°C
$1,274 Объем
<1%
24°C
$1,219 Объем
<1%
25°C or higher
$3,852 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and European model guidance points to a minimum temperature near 17–19°C in London on June 28 amid a post-heatwave cooling trend, with high pressure giving way to increased cloud cover and lighter winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. Trader consensus clustering on 18°C (45.5%) and 19°C (36%) reflects this narrow range, while the 15°C-or-below option at 19.5% accounts for possible clearer skies enhancing heat loss. Key differentiators include forecast variability in low-level humidity and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C, alongside the typical 1–2°C urban heat-island effect in central London versus airport sites used for official readings. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$30,091Дата окончания
28 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and European model guidance points to a minimum temperature near 17–19°C in London on June 28 amid a post-heatwave cooling trend, with high pressure giving way to increased cloud cover and lighter winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. Trader consensus clustering on 18°C (45.5%) and 19°C (36%) reflects this narrow range, while the 15°C-or-below option at 19.5% accounts for possible clearer skies enhancing heat loss. Key differentiators include forecast variability in low-level humidity and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C, alongside the typical 1–2°C urban heat-island effect in central London versus airport sites used for official readings. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$30,091Дата окончания
28 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and European model guidance points to a minimum temperature near 17–19°C in London on June 28 amid a post-heatwave cooling trend, with high pressure giving way to increased cloud cover and lighter winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. Trader consensus clustering on 18°C (45.5%) and 19°C (36%) reflects this narrow range, while the 15°C-or-below option at 19.5% accounts for possible clearer skies enhancing heat loss. Key differentiators include forecast variability in low-level humidity and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C, alongside the typical 1–2°C urban heat-island effect in central London versus airport sites used for official readings. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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