Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum of 16°C overnight into June 30 for London, following a period of hot weather and shifting to more moderate conditions with lighter winds. Ensemble forecast spreads from global and regional models introduce uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling rates, influenced by variable cloud cover, humidity levels, and urban heat retention, which can keep readings 1–2°C above rural baselines. This produces tight market-implied odds clustered around 15–19°C, as traders weigh the balance between clearer-sky scenarios favoring lower values and residual warmth or breeze limiting the drop. Updated model runs and any Met Office briefing revisions ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Лондоне 30 июня?
Самая низкая температура в Лондоне 30 июня?
17°C 27%
16°C 22%
18°C 21%
14°C или ниже 20%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июн. 2026 г.
14°C или ниже
20%
15°C
8%
16°C
22%
17°C
25%
18°C
21%
19°C
9%
20°C
7%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
3%
24°C или выше
4%
17°C 27%
16°C 22%
18°C 21%
14°C или ниже 20%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июн. 2026 г.
14°C или ниже
$0 Объем
20%
15°C
$0 Объем
8%
16°C
$0 Объем
22%
17°C
$13 Объем
25%
18°C
$0 Объем
21%
19°C
$0 Объем
9%
20°C
$0 Объем
7%
21°C
$11 Объем
2%
22°C
$48 Объем
5%
23°C
$48 Объем
3%
24°C или выше
$43 Объем
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum of 16°C overnight into June 30 for London, following a period of hot weather and shifting to more moderate conditions with lighter winds. Ensemble forecast spreads from global and regional models introduce uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling rates, influenced by variable cloud cover, humidity levels, and urban heat retention, which can keep readings 1–2°C above rural baselines. This produces tight market-implied odds clustered around 15–19°C, as traders weigh the balance between clearer-sky scenarios favoring lower values and residual warmth or breeze limiting the drop. Updated model runs and any Met Office briefing revisions ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$163Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum of 16°C overnight into June 30 for London, following a period of hot weather and shifting to more moderate conditions with lighter winds. Ensemble forecast spreads from global and regional models introduce uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling rates, influenced by variable cloud cover, humidity levels, and urban heat retention, which can keep readings 1–2°C above rural baselines. This produces tight market-implied odds clustered around 15–19°C, as traders weigh the balance between clearer-sky scenarios favoring lower values and residual warmth or breeze limiting the drop. Updated model runs and any Met Office briefing revisions ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$163Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum of 16°C overnight into June 30 for London, following a period of hot weather and shifting to more moderate conditions with lighter winds. Ensemble forecast spreads from global and regional models introduce uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling rates, influenced by variable cloud cover, humidity levels, and urban heat retention, which can keep readings 1–2°C above rural baselines. This produces tight market-implied odds clustered around 15–19°C, as traders weigh the balance between clearer-sky scenarios favoring lower values and residual warmth or breeze limiting the drop. Updated model runs and any Met Office briefing revisions ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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