Current short-range model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to a persistent heat dome maintaining elevated overnight temperatures across the Paris basin through July 11, limiting radiative cooling under light winds and high humidity. This setup supports implied probabilities clustering around 20–24 °C lows, with 21 °C edging the field at 30 %. Subtle differences among these outcomes hinge on forecast spread in boundary-layer moisture and any marginal Atlantic flow that could shave a degree or two versus continued subsidence suppressing mixing. Updated guidance expected from the next 00Z and 12Z runs will clarify whether the minimum settles near the lower or upper end of the favored range before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Париже 11 июля?
Самая низкая температура в Париже 11 июля?
22°C 38%
21°C 34%
23°C 15%
20°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 июл. 2026 г.
17°C или ниже
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
10%
21°C
34%
22°C
38%
23°C
15%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C или выше
<1%
22°C 38%
21°C 34%
23°C 15%
20°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 июл. 2026 г.
17°C или ниже
$647 Объем
<1%
18°C
$234 Объем
1%
19°C
$131 Объем
5%
20°C
$177 Объем
10%
21°C
$2,430 Объем
34%
22°C
$3,226 Объем
38%
23°C
$220 Объем
15%
24°C
$238 Объем
2%
25°C
$329 Объем
1%
26°C
$272 Объем
<1%
27°C или выше
$762 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to a persistent heat dome maintaining elevated overnight temperatures across the Paris basin through July 11, limiting radiative cooling under light winds and high humidity. This setup supports implied probabilities clustering around 20–24 °C lows, with 21 °C edging the field at 30 %. Subtle differences among these outcomes hinge on forecast spread in boundary-layer moisture and any marginal Atlantic flow that could shave a degree or two versus continued subsidence suppressing mixing. Updated guidance expected from the next 00Z and 12Z runs will clarify whether the minimum settles near the lower or upper end of the favored range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$8,667Дата окончания
11 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to a persistent heat dome maintaining elevated overnight temperatures across the Paris basin through July 11, limiting radiative cooling under light winds and high humidity. This setup supports implied probabilities clustering around 20–24 °C lows, with 21 °C edging the field at 30 %. Subtle differences among these outcomes hinge on forecast spread in boundary-layer moisture and any marginal Atlantic flow that could shave a degree or two versus continued subsidence suppressing mixing. Updated guidance expected from the next 00Z and 12Z runs will clarify whether the minimum settles near the lower or upper end of the favored range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$8,667Дата окончания
11 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to a persistent heat dome maintaining elevated overnight temperatures across the Paris basin through July 11, limiting radiative cooling under light winds and high humidity. This setup supports implied probabilities clustering around 20–24 °C lows, with 21 °C edging the field at 30 %. Subtle differences among these outcomes hinge on forecast spread in boundary-layer moisture and any marginal Atlantic flow that could shave a degree or two versus continued subsidence suppressing mixing. Updated guidance expected from the next 00Z and 12Z runs will clarify whether the minimum settles near the lower or upper end of the favored range before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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