Recent European heatwave conditions, driven by persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies over western France, have elevated overnight minimum temperatures in Paris well above the July climatological average of 15–17°C. Météo-France guidance for July 10 points to morning lows near 20–22°C under light winds and limited nocturnal cooling, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around these values. Urban heat-island effects and measurement protocols at official stations further constrain downside risk, while any increase in cloud cover or a slight shift in steering flow could allow marginally lower readings. Updated model runs and the next official forecast briefings remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader-implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Париже 10 июля?
Самая низкая температура в Париже 10 июля?
21°C 41%
20°C 37%
22°C 9%
19°C 6%
НОВОЕ
$24,272 Объем
НОВОЕ
$24,272 Объем
10 июл. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
6%
20°C
37%
21°C
41%
22°C
9%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C или выше
<1%
21°C 41%
20°C 37%
22°C 9%
19°C 6%
НОВОЕ
$24,272 Объем
НОВОЕ
$24,272 Объем
10 июл. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
$1,210 Объем
<1%
17°C
$569 Объем
1%
18°C
$586 Объем
1%
19°C
$610 Объем
6%
20°C
$5,423 Объем
37%
21°C
$9,535 Объем
41%
22°C
$983 Объем
9%
23°C
$1,211 Объем
<1%
24°C
$1,381 Объем
<1%
25°C
$1,287 Объем
<1%
26°C или выше
$1,481 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European heatwave conditions, driven by persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies over western France, have elevated overnight minimum temperatures in Paris well above the July climatological average of 15–17°C. Météo-France guidance for July 10 points to morning lows near 20–22°C under light winds and limited nocturnal cooling, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around these values. Urban heat-island effects and measurement protocols at official stations further constrain downside risk, while any increase in cloud cover or a slight shift in steering flow could allow marginally lower readings. Updated model runs and the next official forecast briefings remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$24,272Дата окончания
10 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European heatwave conditions, driven by persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies over western France, have elevated overnight minimum temperatures in Paris well above the July climatological average of 15–17°C. Météo-France guidance for July 10 points to morning lows near 20–22°C under light winds and limited nocturnal cooling, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around these values. Urban heat-island effects and measurement protocols at official stations further constrain downside risk, while any increase in cloud cover or a slight shift in steering flow could allow marginally lower readings. Updated model runs and the next official forecast briefings remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$24,272Дата окончания
10 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent European heatwave conditions, driven by persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies over western France, have elevated overnight minimum temperatures in Paris well above the July climatological average of 15–17°C. Météo-France guidance for July 10 points to morning lows near 20–22°C under light winds and limited nocturnal cooling, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around these values. Urban heat-island effects and measurement protocols at official stations further constrain downside risk, while any increase in cloud cover or a slight shift in steering flow could allow marginally lower readings. Updated model runs and the next official forecast briefings remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader-implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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