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Lowest temperature in Seoul on July 7?

icon for Lowest temperature in Seoul on July 7?

Lowest temperature in Seoul on July 7?

июл. 6

июл. 7

июл. 6

июл. 7

23°C 45%

24°C 31%

22°C 23%

25°C 4%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

23°C 45%

24°C 31%

22°C 23%

25°C 4%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

19°C or below

$213 Объем

<1%

20°C

$302 Объем

1%

21°C

$59 Объем

3%

22°C

$379 Объем

23%

23°C

$1,419 Объем

45%

24°C

$175 Объем

31%

25°C

$23 Объем

4%

26°C

$741 Объем

1%

27°C

$463 Объем

1%

28°C

$513 Объем

<1%

29°C or higher

$208 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the closely bunched probabilities around 22–26°C for Seoul’s July 7 overnight low as reflecting typical early-July climatology, where Korean Meteorological Administration records place morning lows near 21–25°C amid the East Asian monsoon. Persistent high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered precipitation limit radiative cooling while steering patterns and any sea-breeze shifts can add or subtract a degree. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will clarify whether clearer intervals allow the low to dip toward 22°C or whether monsoon moisture keeps readings nearer 25°C, directly influencing the tightest buckets.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$4,494
Дата окончания
7 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the closely bunched probabilities around 22–26°C for Seoul’s July 7 overnight low as reflecting typical early-July climatology, where Korean Meteorological Administration records place morning lows near 21–25°C amid the East Asian monsoon. Persistent high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered precipitation limit radiative cooling while steering patterns and any sea-breeze shifts can add or subtract a degree. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will clarify whether clearer intervals allow the low to dip toward 22°C or whether monsoon moisture keeps readings nearer 25°C, directly influencing the tightest buckets.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$4,494
Дата окончания
7 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Lowest temperature in Seoul on July 7?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «23°C» с 45%, за ним следует «24°C» с 31%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 45¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 45%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Lowest temperature in Seoul on July 7?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Jul 5, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Lowest temperature in Seoul on July 7?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Lowest temperature in Seoul on July 7?» — «23°C» с 45%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 45%. Следующий ближайший исход — «24°C» с 31%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Lowest temperature in Seoul on July 7?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.