Jeddah’s July climatology, driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, intense solar heating, and minimal cloud cover along the Red Sea coast, positions daily highs of 38–42 °C as the norm, with the Saudi National Center for Meteorology recording an average July maximum of 40.3 °C. Current short-range guidance from models such as those referenced by AccuWeather, BBC, and timeanddate.com shows July 7 peaks near 37–39 °C under sunny, north-westerly flow, yet the 66.5 % market-implied probability on 40 °C or higher reflects historical variance and the potential for brief intensification or urban-heat amplification to push readings over the threshold. With resolution only two days away and no significant synoptic disruption expected, traders are weighting the strong baseline rate over any single cooler model run.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Jeddah on July 7?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on July 7?
40°C or higher 46%
39°C 21%
38°C 16%
37°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 июл. 2026 г.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
2%
37°C
9%
38°C
16%
39°C
21%
40°C or higher
46%
40°C or higher 46%
39°C 21%
38°C 16%
37°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 июл. 2026 г.
30°C or below
$170 Объем
<1%
31°C
$171 Объем
<1%
32°C
$162 Объем
<1%
33°C
$208 Объем
<1%
34°C
$214 Объем
<1%
35°C
$457 Объем
<1%
36°C
$535 Объем
2%
37°C
$412 Объем
9%
38°C
$890 Объем
16%
39°C
$314 Объем
21%
40°C or higher
$1,020 Объем
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Jeddah’s July climatology, driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, intense solar heating, and minimal cloud cover along the Red Sea coast, positions daily highs of 38–42 °C as the norm, with the Saudi National Center for Meteorology recording an average July maximum of 40.3 °C. Current short-range guidance from models such as those referenced by AccuWeather, BBC, and timeanddate.com shows July 7 peaks near 37–39 °C under sunny, north-westerly flow, yet the 66.5 % market-implied probability on 40 °C or higher reflects historical variance and the potential for brief intensification or urban-heat amplification to push readings over the threshold. With resolution only two days away and no significant synoptic disruption expected, traders are weighting the strong baseline rate over any single cooler model run.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Объем
$4,383Дата окончания
7 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Jeddah’s July climatology, driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, intense solar heating, and minimal cloud cover along the Red Sea coast, positions daily highs of 38–42 °C as the norm, with the Saudi National Center for Meteorology recording an average July maximum of 40.3 °C. Current short-range guidance from models such as those referenced by AccuWeather, BBC, and timeanddate.com shows July 7 peaks near 37–39 °C under sunny, north-westerly flow, yet the 66.5 % market-implied probability on 40 °C or higher reflects historical variance and the potential for brief intensification or urban-heat amplification to push readings over the threshold. With resolution only two days away and no significant synoptic disruption expected, traders are weighting the strong baseline rate over any single cooler model run.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$4,383Дата окончания
7 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jeddah’s July climatology, driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, intense solar heating, and minimal cloud cover along the Red Sea coast, positions daily highs of 38–42 °C as the norm, with the Saudi National Center for Meteorology recording an average July maximum of 40.3 °C. Current short-range guidance from models such as those referenced by AccuWeather, BBC, and timeanddate.com shows July 7 peaks near 37–39 °C under sunny, north-westerly flow, yet the 66.5 % market-implied probability on 40 °C or higher reflects historical variance and the potential for brief intensification or urban-heat amplification to push readings over the threshold. With resolution only two days away and no significant synoptic disruption expected, traders are weighting the strong baseline rate over any single cooler model run.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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