Traders see elevated uncertainty in the lowest temperature for Shanghai on June 29, with the leading 23°C outcome at 34.5% reflecting dispersed model guidance just 48 hours out. Late-June climatology places typical daily minima near 22–24°C, but shifting East Asian monsoon flows, possible subtropical high pressure ridging, and urban heat-island modulation introduce variability. Ensemble spreads from global models show sensitivity to overnight cloud cover, wind direction, and any weak frontal passages that could suppress or elevate readings by 2–4°C. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z runs from major centers will likely tighten or shift the distribution ahead of resolution based on observed 2-meter temperatures.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 29?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on June 29?
23°C 92%
22°C 6.0%
21°C 1.3%
20°C <1%
НОВОЕ
$25,234 Объем
НОВОЕ
$25,234 Объем
29 июн. 2026 г.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
6%
23°C
92%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 92%
22°C 6.0%
21°C 1.3%
20°C <1%
НОВОЕ
$25,234 Объем
НОВОЕ
$25,234 Объем
29 июн. 2026 г.
18°C or below
$898 Объем
<1%
19°C
$589 Объем
<1%
20°C
$588 Объем
<1%
21°C
$488 Объем
1%
22°C
$376 Объем
6%
23°C
$1,850 Объем
92%
24°C
$4,743 Объем
<1%
25°C
$5,068 Объем
<1%
26°C
$2,949 Объем
<1%
27°C
$5,342 Объем
<1%
28°C or higher
$2,679 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see elevated uncertainty in the lowest temperature for Shanghai on June 29, with the leading 23°C outcome at 34.5% reflecting dispersed model guidance just 48 hours out. Late-June climatology places typical daily minima near 22–24°C, but shifting East Asian monsoon flows, possible subtropical high pressure ridging, and urban heat-island modulation introduce variability. Ensemble spreads from global models show sensitivity to overnight cloud cover, wind direction, and any weak frontal passages that could suppress or elevate readings by 2–4°C. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z runs from major centers will likely tighten or shift the distribution ahead of resolution based on observed 2-meter temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$25,234Дата окончания
29 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see elevated uncertainty in the lowest temperature for Shanghai on June 29, with the leading 23°C outcome at 34.5% reflecting dispersed model guidance just 48 hours out. Late-June climatology places typical daily minima near 22–24°C, but shifting East Asian monsoon flows, possible subtropical high pressure ridging, and urban heat-island modulation introduce variability. Ensemble spreads from global models show sensitivity to overnight cloud cover, wind direction, and any weak frontal passages that could suppress or elevate readings by 2–4°C. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z runs from major centers will likely tighten or shift the distribution ahead of resolution based on observed 2-meter temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$25,234Дата окончания
29 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see elevated uncertainty in the lowest temperature for Shanghai on June 29, with the leading 23°C outcome at 34.5% reflecting dispersed model guidance just 48 hours out. Late-June climatology places typical daily minima near 22–24°C, but shifting East Asian monsoon flows, possible subtropical high pressure ridging, and urban heat-island modulation introduce variability. Ensemble spreads from global models show sensitivity to overnight cloud cover, wind direction, and any weak frontal passages that could suppress or elevate readings by 2–4°C. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z runs from major centers will likely tighten or shift the distribution ahead of resolution based on observed 2-meter temperatures.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы