Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a Shanghai overnight low of 21–23 °C on September 21, with clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and moderate humidity supporting modest radiative cooling after daytime highs near 29–31 °C. This keeps 22 °C and 23 °C outcomes nearly tied in market-implied odds, as small differences in cloud cover timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the minimum by a degree. September climatology favors lows in this range, with recent stable high-pressure conditions reducing variability compared with earlier unsettled periods. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening of September 20 will refine whether the minimum settles closer to 22 °C or 23 °C before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Шанхае 21 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Шанхае 21 сентября?
22°C 45%
23°C 43%
26°C 11%
21°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 сент. 2026 г.
17°C или ниже
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
7%
21°C
10%
22°C
45%
23°C
43%
24°C
8%
25°C
7%
26°C
11%
27°C или выше
1%
22°C 45%
23°C 43%
26°C 11%
21°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 сент. 2026 г.
17°C или ниже
$6 Объем
<1%
18°C
$0 Объем
2%
19°C
$0 Объем
3%
20°C
$153 Объем
7%
21°C
$157 Объем
10%
22°C
$38 Объем
45%
23°C
$399 Объем
43%
24°C
$14 Объем
8%
25°C
$0 Объем
7%
26°C
$0 Объем
11%
27°C или выше
$0 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a Shanghai overnight low of 21–23 °C on September 21, with clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and moderate humidity supporting modest radiative cooling after daytime highs near 29–31 °C. This keeps 22 °C and 23 °C outcomes nearly tied in market-implied odds, as small differences in cloud cover timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the minimum by a degree. September climatology favors lows in this range, with recent stable high-pressure conditions reducing variability compared with earlier unsettled periods. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening of September 20 will refine whether the minimum settles closer to 22 °C or 23 °C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$768Дата окончания
21 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a Shanghai overnight low of 21–23 °C on September 21, with clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and moderate humidity supporting modest radiative cooling after daytime highs near 29–31 °C. This keeps 22 °C and 23 °C outcomes nearly tied in market-implied odds, as small differences in cloud cover timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the minimum by a degree. September climatology favors lows in this range, with recent stable high-pressure conditions reducing variability compared with earlier unsettled periods. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening of September 20 will refine whether the minimum settles closer to 22 °C or 23 °C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$768Дата окончания
21 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a Shanghai overnight low of 21–23 °C on September 21, with clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and moderate humidity supporting modest radiative cooling after daytime highs near 29–31 °C. This keeps 22 °C and 23 °C outcomes nearly tied in market-implied odds, as small differences in cloud cover timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the minimum by a degree. September climatology favors lows in this range, with recent stable high-pressure conditions reducing variability compared with earlier unsettled periods. Updated model runs and official observations through the evening of September 20 will refine whether the minimum settles closer to 22 °C or 23 °C before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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