**Recent forecasts and observational data point to a minimum temperature near 23–24°C in Shanghai on September 20, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes of 24°C (60%) and 25°C (30%).** Official and model guidance consistently projects a daily low in this narrow band under partly cloudy to mostly clear skies, with light northeast winds promoting modest overnight radiative cooling but limiting further drops. Shanghai’s humid subtropical climate features September average lows around 22°C, with the current pattern reflecting seasonal moderation after summer warmth and the influence of northerly flow rather than any strong frontal system or precipitation. Hourly trends show temperatures falling from daytime highs near 29–30°C to overnight values stabilizing near 22–24°C, consistent with model consensus and recent days’ similar conditions. No significant shifts in steering patterns or moisture are expected before resolution, keeping the distribution tightly centered on 24°C while allowing limited upside to 25°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Шанхае 20 сентября?
24°C 60%
25°C 30%
23°C 6%
21°C 3.6%
19°C или ниже
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
4%
22°C
3%
23°C
6%
24°C
60%
25°C
30%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C или выше
<1%
24°C 60%
25°C 30%
23°C 6%
21°C 3.6%
19°C или ниже
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
4%
22°C
3%
23°C
6%
24°C
60%
25°C
30%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts and observational data point to a minimum temperature near 23–24°C in Shanghai on September 20, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes of 24°C (60%) and 25°C (30%).** Official and model guidance consistently projects a daily low in this narrow band under partly cloudy to mostly clear skies, with light northeast winds promoting modest overnight radiative cooling but limiting further drops. Shanghai’s humid subtropical climate features September average lows around 22°C, with the current pattern reflecting seasonal moderation after summer warmth and the influence of northerly flow rather than any strong frontal system or precipitation. Hourly trends show temperatures falling from daytime highs near 29–30°C to overnight values stabilizing near 22–24°C, consistent with model consensus and recent days’ similar conditions. No significant shifts in steering patterns or moisture are expected before resolution, keeping the distribution tightly centered on 24°C while allowing limited upside to 25°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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