Forecast models from sources including GFS indicate a maximum temperature near 20°C in Amsterdam on September 22 under persistent overcast skies and light southwesterly winds, aligning with the market's leading 20°C outcome at 53.5% implied probability. This reflects typical late-September climatology, where average highs range 18–20°C, tempered by cloud cover that suppresses daytime warming while a mild Atlantic air mass prevents sharper cooling. Recent updates show stable high pressure and minimal precipitation risk, keeping the distribution centered on 19–21°C. Minor model spread in afternoon cloud timing introduces limited upside potential for 21°C, while historical analogs suggest downside risk remains low absent an unexpected frontal shift before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Амстердаме 22 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Амстердаме 22 сентября?
20°C 55%
19°C 24%
21°C 13%
18°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
22 сент. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
11%
19°C
24%
20°C
55%
21°C
13%
22°C
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C или выше
<1%
20°C 55%
19°C 24%
21°C 13%
18°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
22 сент. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
$116 Объем
<1%
16°C
$241 Объем
<1%
17°C
$107 Объем
<1%
18°C
$2,048 Объем
11%
19°C
$1,290 Объем
24%
20°C
$2,557 Объем
55%
21°C
$962 Объем
13%
22°C
$445 Объем
2%
23°C
$134 Объем
<1%
24°C
$108 Объем
<1%
25°C или выше
$168 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS indicate a maximum temperature near 20°C in Amsterdam on September 22 under persistent overcast skies and light southwesterly winds, aligning with the market's leading 20°C outcome at 53.5% implied probability. This reflects typical late-September climatology, where average highs range 18–20°C, tempered by cloud cover that suppresses daytime warming while a mild Atlantic air mass prevents sharper cooling. Recent updates show stable high pressure and minimal precipitation risk, keeping the distribution centered on 19–21°C. Minor model spread in afternoon cloud timing introduces limited upside potential for 21°C, while historical analogs suggest downside risk remains low absent an unexpected frontal shift before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$8,176Дата окончания
22 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS indicate a maximum temperature near 20°C in Amsterdam on September 22 under persistent overcast skies and light southwesterly winds, aligning with the market's leading 20°C outcome at 53.5% implied probability. This reflects typical late-September climatology, where average highs range 18–20°C, tempered by cloud cover that suppresses daytime warming while a mild Atlantic air mass prevents sharper cooling. Recent updates show stable high pressure and minimal precipitation risk, keeping the distribution centered on 19–21°C. Minor model spread in afternoon cloud timing introduces limited upside potential for 21°C, while historical analogs suggest downside risk remains low absent an unexpected frontal shift before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$8,176Дата окончания
22 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including GFS indicate a maximum temperature near 20°C in Amsterdam on September 22 under persistent overcast skies and light southwesterly winds, aligning with the market's leading 20°C outcome at 53.5% implied probability. This reflects typical late-September climatology, where average highs range 18–20°C, tempered by cloud cover that suppresses daytime warming while a mild Atlantic air mass prevents sharper cooling. Recent updates show stable high pressure and minimal precipitation risk, keeping the distribution centered on 19–21°C. Minor model spread in afternoon cloud timing introduces limited upside potential for 21°C, while historical analogs suggest downside risk remains low absent an unexpected frontal shift before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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