Recent forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS and ECMWF guidance, indicate a high near 18–19 °C for Amsterdam on September 21 under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and minimal precipitation. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 18.5 °C and follows a stable late-summer pattern without significant warm advection or blocking highs. Trader consensus reflected in the market—19 °C at 40.5 % implied probability and 18 °C at 20.5 %—tracks these model runs, while the 21 % chance assigned to 20 °C accounts for minor ensemble spread and potential afternoon clearing. Updated model guidance in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Амстердаме 21 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Амстердаме 21 сентября?
19°C 50%
18°C 21%
20°C 19%
21°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 сент. 2026 г.
13°C или ниже
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
7%
17°C
7%
18°C
21%
19°C
50%
20°C
19%
21°C
10%
22°C
2%
23°C или выше
2%
19°C 50%
18°C 21%
20°C 19%
21°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 сент. 2026 г.
13°C или ниже
$0 Объем
1%
14°C
$0 Объем
2%
15°C
$0 Объем
4%
16°C
$0 Объем
7%
17°C
$13 Объем
7%
18°C
$170 Объем
21%
19°C
$431 Объем
50%
20°C
$0 Объем
19%
21°C
$0 Объем
10%
22°C
$0 Объем
2%
23°C или выше
$0 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS and ECMWF guidance, indicate a high near 18–19 °C for Amsterdam on September 21 under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and minimal precipitation. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 18.5 °C and follows a stable late-summer pattern without significant warm advection or blocking highs. Trader consensus reflected in the market—19 °C at 40.5 % implied probability and 18 °C at 20.5 %—tracks these model runs, while the 21 % chance assigned to 20 °C accounts for minor ensemble spread and potential afternoon clearing. Updated model guidance in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$613Дата окончания
21 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS and ECMWF guidance, indicate a high near 18–19 °C for Amsterdam on September 21 under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and minimal precipitation. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 18.5 °C and follows a stable late-summer pattern without significant warm advection or blocking highs. Trader consensus reflected in the market—19 °C at 40.5 % implied probability and 18 °C at 20.5 %—tracks these model runs, while the 21 % chance assigned to 20 °C accounts for minor ensemble spread and potential afternoon clearing. Updated model guidance in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$613Дата окончания
21 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS and ECMWF guidance, indicate a high near 18–19 °C for Amsterdam on September 21 under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and minimal precipitation. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 18.5 °C and follows a stable late-summer pattern without significant warm advection or blocking highs. Trader consensus reflected in the market—19 °C at 40.5 % implied probability and 18 °C at 20.5 %—tracks these model runs, while the 21 % chance assigned to 20 °C accounts for minor ensemble spread and potential afternoon clearing. Updated model guidance in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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