**Trader consensus centers on a 31–32°C peak for September 18, matching the Hong Kong Observatory forecast of 27–32°C under northeast monsoon flow and a high-pressure ridge that maintains sunny, dry conditions with low precipitation risk.** Recent model runs and regional observations show daytime temperatures climbing toward the upper end of the range as the monsoon weakens slightly, consistent with highs of 31–32°C recorded on September 16–17. The modest 14% probability on 33°C reflects limited upside potential from further ridge strengthening or reduced cloud cover, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent any incoming frontal systems or significant moisture. Final resolution hinges on the official maximum at the Hong Kong Observatory station, with tomorrow’s updated guidance and real-time readings serving as the key near-term catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гонконге 18 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Гонконге 18 сентября?
32°C 41%
31°C 34%
30°C 15%
33°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 сент. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
15%
31°C
34%
32°C
41%
33°C
12%
34°C
2%
35°C или выше
<1%
32°C 41%
31°C 34%
30°C 15%
33°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 сент. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
$776 Объем
<1%
26°C
$259 Объем
<1%
27°C
$263 Объем
<1%
28°C
$399 Объем
<1%
29°C
$681 Объем
2%
30°C
$493 Объем
15%
31°C
$1,767 Объем
34%
32°C
$3,020 Объем
41%
33°C
$828 Объем
12%
34°C
$493 Объем
2%
35°C или выше
$513 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus centers on a 31–32°C peak for September 18, matching the Hong Kong Observatory forecast of 27–32°C under northeast monsoon flow and a high-pressure ridge that maintains sunny, dry conditions with low precipitation risk.** Recent model runs and regional observations show daytime temperatures climbing toward the upper end of the range as the monsoon weakens slightly, consistent with highs of 31–32°C recorded on September 16–17. The modest 14% probability on 33°C reflects limited upside potential from further ridge strengthening or reduced cloud cover, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent any incoming frontal systems or significant moisture. Final resolution hinges on the official maximum at the Hong Kong Observatory station, with tomorrow’s updated guidance and real-time readings serving as the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$9,493Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus centers on a 31–32°C peak for September 18, matching the Hong Kong Observatory forecast of 27–32°C under northeast monsoon flow and a high-pressure ridge that maintains sunny, dry conditions with low precipitation risk.** Recent model runs and regional observations show daytime temperatures climbing toward the upper end of the range as the monsoon weakens slightly, consistent with highs of 31–32°C recorded on September 16–17. The modest 14% probability on 33°C reflects limited upside potential from further ridge strengthening or reduced cloud cover, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent any incoming frontal systems or significant moisture. Final resolution hinges on the official maximum at the Hong Kong Observatory station, with tomorrow’s updated guidance and real-time readings serving as the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$9,493Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on a 31–32°C peak for September 18, matching the Hong Kong Observatory forecast of 27–32°C under northeast monsoon flow and a high-pressure ridge that maintains sunny, dry conditions with low precipitation risk.** Recent model runs and regional observations show daytime temperatures climbing toward the upper end of the range as the monsoon weakens slightly, consistent with highs of 31–32°C recorded on September 16–17. The modest 14% probability on 33°C reflects limited upside potential from further ridge strengthening or reduced cloud cover, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent any incoming frontal systems or significant moisture. Final resolution hinges on the official maximum at the Hong Kong Observatory station, with tomorrow’s updated guidance and real-time readings serving as the key near-term catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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