Recent official forecasts from sources including GFS model runs and agencies like the South African Weather Service indicate a high of 23–24°C for Cape Town on September 19 under clear skies, light to moderate southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 24°C (38.5%) and 23°C (24.5%), as traders weigh the consensus maximum against typical September variability where daily highs average near 20°C. Stable high-pressure conditions and dry air have supported gradual warming through mid-September, with no significant frontal systems or marine layer intrusions expected to suppress temperatures. Minor model spread and local microclimate effects introduce uncertainty around the precise peak, keeping 25°C at 18.5% while lower outcomes remain low-probability. Updated model guidance and observational data ahead of resolution will refine these market-implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Кейптауне 19 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Кейптауне 19 сентября?
24°C 39%
23°C 24%
25°C 19%
22°C 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 сент. 2026 г.
18°C или ниже
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
15%
23°C
24%
24°C
39%
25°C
19%
26°C
5%
27°C
2%
28°C или выше
1%
24°C 39%
23°C 24%
25°C 19%
22°C 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 сент. 2026 г.
18°C или ниже
$516 Объем
<1%
19°C
$2 Объем
1%
20°C
$142 Объем
1%
21°C
$333 Объем
3%
22°C
$855 Объем
15%
23°C
$975 Объем
24%
24°C
$385 Объем
39%
25°C
$797 Объем
19%
26°C
$374 Объем
5%
27°C
$84 Объем
2%
28°C или выше
$174 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including GFS model runs and agencies like the South African Weather Service indicate a high of 23–24°C for Cape Town on September 19 under clear skies, light to moderate southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 24°C (38.5%) and 23°C (24.5%), as traders weigh the consensus maximum against typical September variability where daily highs average near 20°C. Stable high-pressure conditions and dry air have supported gradual warming through mid-September, with no significant frontal systems or marine layer intrusions expected to suppress temperatures. Minor model spread and local microclimate effects introduce uncertainty around the precise peak, keeping 25°C at 18.5% while lower outcomes remain low-probability. Updated model guidance and observational data ahead of resolution will refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$4,639Дата окончания
19 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including GFS model runs and agencies like the South African Weather Service indicate a high of 23–24°C for Cape Town on September 19 under clear skies, light to moderate southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 24°C (38.5%) and 23°C (24.5%), as traders weigh the consensus maximum against typical September variability where daily highs average near 20°C. Stable high-pressure conditions and dry air have supported gradual warming through mid-September, with no significant frontal systems or marine layer intrusions expected to suppress temperatures. Minor model spread and local microclimate effects introduce uncertainty around the precise peak, keeping 25°C at 18.5% while lower outcomes remain low-probability. Updated model guidance and observational data ahead of resolution will refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$4,639Дата окончания
19 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including GFS model runs and agencies like the South African Weather Service indicate a high of 23–24°C for Cape Town on September 19 under clear skies, light to moderate southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 24°C (38.5%) and 23°C (24.5%), as traders weigh the consensus maximum against typical September variability where daily highs average near 20°C. Stable high-pressure conditions and dry air have supported gradual warming through mid-September, with no significant frontal systems or marine layer intrusions expected to suppress temperatures. Minor model spread and local microclimate effects introduce uncertainty around the precise peak, keeping 25°C at 18.5% while lower outcomes remain low-probability. Updated model guidance and observational data ahead of resolution will refine these market-implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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