Forecast models from sources including the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international providers indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions on September 18, with light easterly winds and minimal precipitation risk supporting daytime radiative heating. This setup favors peak temperatures clustered around 32–34 °C, consistent with late-summer subtropical monsoon patterns where September climatological highs average near 31–32 °C. Recent stability, absent typhoon influences or frontal systems, has tightened model agreement and elevated market-implied probabilities for these outcomes. Updated high-resolution runs and morning observations on the 17th will provide the final calibration before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 18 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 18 сентября?
33°C 40%
32°C 28%
34°C 23%
31°C 17%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 сент. 2026 г.
28°C или ниже
4%
29°C
7%
30°C
9%
31°C
17%
32°C
28%
33°C
40%
34°C
23%
35°C
12%
36°C
5%
37°C
4%
38°C или выше
3%
33°C 40%
32°C 28%
34°C 23%
31°C 17%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 сент. 2026 г.
28°C или ниже
$5 Объем
4%
29°C
$0 Объем
7%
30°C
$10 Объем
9%
31°C
$10 Объем
17%
32°C
$213 Объем
28%
33°C
$73 Объем
40%
34°C
$0 Объем
23%
35°C
$0 Объем
12%
36°C
$45 Объем
5%
37°C
$0 Объем
4%
38°C или выше
$0 Объем
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international providers indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions on September 18, with light easterly winds and minimal precipitation risk supporting daytime radiative heating. This setup favors peak temperatures clustered around 32–34 °C, consistent with late-summer subtropical monsoon patterns where September climatological highs average near 31–32 °C. Recent stability, absent typhoon influences or frontal systems, has tightened model agreement and elevated market-implied probabilities for these outcomes. Updated high-resolution runs and morning observations on the 17th will provide the final calibration before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$356Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international providers indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions on September 18, with light easterly winds and minimal precipitation risk supporting daytime radiative heating. This setup favors peak temperatures clustered around 32–34 °C, consistent with late-summer subtropical monsoon patterns where September climatological highs average near 31–32 °C. Recent stability, absent typhoon influences or frontal systems, has tightened model agreement and elevated market-implied probabilities for these outcomes. Updated high-resolution runs and morning observations on the 17th will provide the final calibration before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$356Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international providers indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions on September 18, with light easterly winds and minimal precipitation risk supporting daytime radiative heating. This setup favors peak temperatures clustered around 32–34 °C, consistent with late-summer subtropical monsoon patterns where September climatological highs average near 31–32 °C. Recent stability, absent typhoon influences or frontal systems, has tightened model agreement and elevated market-implied probabilities for these outcomes. Updated high-resolution runs and morning observations on the 17th will provide the final calibration before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы