Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for New York City points to an overnight low near 70°F on September 18, driven by a mild southerly flow advecting warmer air ahead of a weak frontal passage and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with dew points in the mid-60s. This aligns with the market’s leading 70-71°F outcome at 48.5% implied probability, while 68-69°F and 72-73°F brackets capture residual spread across model runs. Recent observations show Central Park lows holding in the upper 50s to low 70s amid above-normal September warmth, with no strong cold-air intrusion expected before the date. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast range against typical historical variability for mid-September, when average lows sit near 61°F. Updated model cycles and any shift in steering winds remain the key near-term catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 18 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 18 сентября?
70-71°F 49%
68-69°F 31%
66-67°F 19%
72-73°F 19%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 сент. 2026 г.
61°F или ниже
2%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
19%
68-69°F
31%
70-71°F
49%
72-73°F
24%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
1%
80°F или выше
1%
70-71°F 49%
68-69°F 31%
66-67°F 19%
72-73°F 19%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 сент. 2026 г.
61°F или ниже
$0 Объем
2%
62-63°F
$0 Объем
2%
64-65°F
$0 Объем
3%
66-67°F
$0 Объем
19%
68-69°F
$0 Объем
31%
70-71°F
$510 Объем
49%
72-73°F
$319 Объем
24%
74-75°F
$0 Объем
19%
76-77°F
$0 Объем
5%
78-79°F
$291 Объем
1%
80°F или выше
$291 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for New York City points to an overnight low near 70°F on September 18, driven by a mild southerly flow advecting warmer air ahead of a weak frontal passage and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with dew points in the mid-60s. This aligns with the market’s leading 70-71°F outcome at 48.5% implied probability, while 68-69°F and 72-73°F brackets capture residual spread across model runs. Recent observations show Central Park lows holding in the upper 50s to low 70s amid above-normal September warmth, with no strong cold-air intrusion expected before the date. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast range against typical historical variability for mid-September, when average lows sit near 61°F. Updated model cycles and any shift in steering winds remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 16, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Объем
$1,411Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 3:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for New York City points to an overnight low near 70°F on September 18, driven by a mild southerly flow advecting warmer air ahead of a weak frontal passage and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with dew points in the mid-60s. This aligns with the market’s leading 70-71°F outcome at 48.5% implied probability, while 68-69°F and 72-73°F brackets capture residual spread across model runs. Recent observations show Central Park lows holding in the upper 50s to low 70s amid above-normal September warmth, with no strong cold-air intrusion expected before the date. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast range against typical historical variability for mid-September, when average lows sit near 61°F. Updated model cycles and any shift in steering winds remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,411Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 3:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for New York City points to an overnight low near 70°F on September 18, driven by a mild southerly flow advecting warmer air ahead of a weak frontal passage and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with dew points in the mid-60s. This aligns with the market’s leading 70-71°F outcome at 48.5% implied probability, while 68-69°F and 72-73°F brackets capture residual spread across model runs. Recent observations show Central Park lows holding in the upper 50s to low 70s amid above-normal September warmth, with no strong cold-air intrusion expected before the date. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast range against typical historical variability for mid-September, when average lows sit near 61°F. Updated model cycles and any shift in steering winds remain the key near-term catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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