Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and Yr indicate a peak temperature near 24–25°C for Mexico City on September 18, driven by diurnal solar heating under partly cloudy skies with 30–50% rain chances that could limit maximums. Northerly winds and the city's 2,240-meter elevation moderate extremes, while scattered convection typical of the September rainy season introduces uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of cloud cover. Historical September highs average 23–26°C, providing context for the tight market spread between 24°C and 25°C+ outcomes. Updated model runs and local observations ahead of peak afternoon heating remain key variables that could shift consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мехико 18 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Мехико 18 сентября?
24°C 37%
25°C или выше 35%
23°C 21%
22°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 сент. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
10%
23°C
21%
24°C
37%
25°C или выше
35%
24°C 37%
25°C или выше 35%
23°C 21%
22°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 сент. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
$31 Объем
<1%
16°C
$31 Объем
<1%
17°C
$31 Объем
<1%
18°C
$31 Объем
<1%
19°C
$31 Объем
<1%
20°C
$53 Объем
<1%
21°C
$388 Объем
1%
22°C
$403 Объем
10%
23°C
$499 Объем
21%
24°C
$602 Объем
37%
25°C или выше
$968 Объем
35%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and Yr indicate a peak temperature near 24–25°C for Mexico City on September 18, driven by diurnal solar heating under partly cloudy skies with 30–50% rain chances that could limit maximums. Northerly winds and the city's 2,240-meter elevation moderate extremes, while scattered convection typical of the September rainy season introduces uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of cloud cover. Historical September highs average 23–26°C, providing context for the tight market spread between 24°C and 25°C+ outcomes. Updated model runs and local observations ahead of peak afternoon heating remain key variables that could shift consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 16, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Объем
$3,068Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 8:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and Yr indicate a peak temperature near 24–25°C for Mexico City on September 18, driven by diurnal solar heating under partly cloudy skies with 30–50% rain chances that could limit maximums. Northerly winds and the city's 2,240-meter elevation moderate extremes, while scattered convection typical of the September rainy season introduces uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of cloud cover. Historical September highs average 23–26°C, providing context for the tight market spread between 24°C and 25°C+ outcomes. Updated model runs and local observations ahead of peak afternoon heating remain key variables that could shift consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,068Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 8:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and Yr indicate a peak temperature near 24–25°C for Mexico City on September 18, driven by diurnal solar heating under partly cloudy skies with 30–50% rain chances that could limit maximums. Northerly winds and the city's 2,240-meter elevation moderate extremes, while scattered convection typical of the September rainy season introduces uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of cloud cover. Historical September highs average 23–26°C, providing context for the tight market spread between 24°C and 25°C+ outcomes. Updated model runs and local observations ahead of peak afternoon heating remain key variables that could shift consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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