Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and supporting numerical models placed the minimum temperature in Mexico City on September 16 squarely in the 12–14 °C range, with 13 °C the most frequently cited central value under persistent cloud cover and light northeasterly flow. This consensus aligned with typical late-rainy-season conditions at the city’s 2,240 m elevation, where radiative cooling is moderated by moisture and cloudiness, producing overnight lows several degrees above the September climatological mean of ~10 °C. Market-implied odds above 99 % for 13 °C therefore reflect the narrow uncertainty band around these verified model outputs and station observations. Only a substantial forecast bust—such as an unexpected clear-sky radiative plunge or a localized cold-air drainage event not resolved by official stations—would have shifted the recorded minimum outside that narrow window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Мехико 16 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Мехико 16 сентября?
13°C 98.0%
6°C или ниже 2.9%
8°C 1.9%
7°C 1.8%
$773 Объем
$773 Объем
16 сент. 2026 г.
6°C или ниже
3%
7°C
2%
8°C
2%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
98%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C или выше
<1%
13°C 98.0%
6°C или ниже 2.9%
8°C 1.9%
7°C 1.8%
$773 Объем
$773 Объем
16 сент. 2026 г.
6°C или ниже
$115 Объем
3%
7°C
$46 Объем
2%
8°C
$41 Объем
2%
9°C
$41 Объем
<1%
10°C
$31 Объем
<1%
11°C
$66 Объем
<1%
12°C
$52 Объем
<1%
13°C
$29 Объем
98%
14°C
$248 Объем
<1%
15°C
$73 Объем
<1%
16°C или выше
$31 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and supporting numerical models placed the minimum temperature in Mexico City on September 16 squarely in the 12–14 °C range, with 13 °C the most frequently cited central value under persistent cloud cover and light northeasterly flow. This consensus aligned with typical late-rainy-season conditions at the city’s 2,240 m elevation, where radiative cooling is moderated by moisture and cloudiness, producing overnight lows several degrees above the September climatological mean of ~10 °C. Market-implied odds above 99 % for 13 °C therefore reflect the narrow uncertainty band around these verified model outputs and station observations. Only a substantial forecast bust—such as an unexpected clear-sky radiative plunge or a localized cold-air drainage event not resolved by official stations—would have shifted the recorded minimum outside that narrow window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 14, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Объем
$773Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 8:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and supporting numerical models placed the minimum temperature in Mexico City on September 16 squarely in the 12–14 °C range, with 13 °C the most frequently cited central value under persistent cloud cover and light northeasterly flow. This consensus aligned with typical late-rainy-season conditions at the city’s 2,240 m elevation, where radiative cooling is moderated by moisture and cloudiness, producing overnight lows several degrees above the September climatological mean of ~10 °C. Market-implied odds above 99 % for 13 °C therefore reflect the narrow uncertainty band around these verified model outputs and station observations. Only a substantial forecast bust—such as an unexpected clear-sky radiative plunge or a localized cold-air drainage event not resolved by official stations—would have shifted the recorded minimum outside that narrow window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$773Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 8:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and supporting numerical models placed the minimum temperature in Mexico City on September 16 squarely in the 12–14 °C range, with 13 °C the most frequently cited central value under persistent cloud cover and light northeasterly flow. This consensus aligned with typical late-rainy-season conditions at the city’s 2,240 m elevation, where radiative cooling is moderated by moisture and cloudiness, producing overnight lows several degrees above the September climatological mean of ~10 °C. Market-implied odds above 99 % for 13 °C therefore reflect the narrow uncertainty band around these verified model outputs and station observations. Only a substantial forecast bust—such as an unexpected clear-sky radiative plunge or a localized cold-air drainage event not resolved by official stations—would have shifted the recorded minimum outside that narrow window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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