Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 17 project a minimum temperature of 27°C under the influence of a fresh northeast monsoon and an aloft anticyclone, delivering fine, dry conditions with easterly winds of force 4 to 5. This setup supports moderate overnight radiative cooling while limiting further drops, aligning with the market's leading 57.5% implied probability for 27°C and 33.5% for 26°C. Ensemble model consensus and recent observations indicate low variance, though subtle shifts in wind speed or cloud cover could alter the exact low. Traders appear to weigh the authoritative temperature range of 27–31°C heavily against historical September baselines, with sub-25°C outcomes remaining remote given current atmospheric stability. Updated HKO briefings or real-time data releases tomorrow may refine these probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гонконге 17 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Гонконге 17 сентября?
27°C 48%
26°C 35%
28°C 9%
25°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 сент. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
7%
26°C
35%
27°C
48%
28°C
9%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C или выше
1%
27°C 48%
26°C 35%
28°C 9%
25°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 сент. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
$0 Объем
2%
22°C
$0 Объем
2%
23°C
$0 Объем
2%
24°C
$0 Объем
2%
25°C
$450 Объем
7%
26°C
$2,141 Объем
35%
27°C
$2,965 Объем
48%
28°C
$578 Объем
9%
29°C
$5 Объем
2%
30°C
$713 Объем
1%
31°C или выше
$37 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 17 project a minimum temperature of 27°C under the influence of a fresh northeast monsoon and an aloft anticyclone, delivering fine, dry conditions with easterly winds of force 4 to 5. This setup supports moderate overnight radiative cooling while limiting further drops, aligning with the market's leading 57.5% implied probability for 27°C and 33.5% for 26°C. Ensemble model consensus and recent observations indicate low variance, though subtle shifts in wind speed or cloud cover could alter the exact low. Traders appear to weigh the authoritative temperature range of 27–31°C heavily against historical September baselines, with sub-25°C outcomes remaining remote given current atmospheric stability. Updated HKO briefings or real-time data releases tomorrow may refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$6,156Дата окончания
17 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 17 project a minimum temperature of 27°C under the influence of a fresh northeast monsoon and an aloft anticyclone, delivering fine, dry conditions with easterly winds of force 4 to 5. This setup supports moderate overnight radiative cooling while limiting further drops, aligning with the market's leading 57.5% implied probability for 27°C and 33.5% for 26°C. Ensemble model consensus and recent observations indicate low variance, though subtle shifts in wind speed or cloud cover could alter the exact low. Traders appear to weigh the authoritative temperature range of 27–31°C heavily against historical September baselines, with sub-25°C outcomes remaining remote given current atmospheric stability. Updated HKO briefings or real-time data releases tomorrow may refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$6,156Дата окончания
17 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 17 project a minimum temperature of 27°C under the influence of a fresh northeast monsoon and an aloft anticyclone, delivering fine, dry conditions with easterly winds of force 4 to 5. This setup supports moderate overnight radiative cooling while limiting further drops, aligning with the market's leading 57.5% implied probability for 27°C and 33.5% for 26°C. Ensemble model consensus and recent observations indicate low variance, though subtle shifts in wind speed or cloud cover could alter the exact low. Traders appear to weigh the authoritative temperature range of 27–31°C heavily against historical September baselines, with sub-25°C outcomes remaining remote given current atmospheric stability. Updated HKO briefings or real-time data releases tomorrow may refine these probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы