Recent forecasts from PAGASA and global models show partly cloudy to cloudy conditions over Manila on September 18, influenced by the prevailing southwest monsoon (habagat), with isolated rain showers and thunderstorms expected. These atmospheric patterns typically limit peak solar heating and suppress maximum temperatures to the 31–33°C range, consistent with historical September averages of 30–31°C highs amid high humidity. Current model consensus and recent observational trends favor 32°C as the most probable outcome, with slight upside potential if convective activity remains limited during peak afternoon hours. Traders are weighting these dynamics against baseline climatology, as stronger monsoon activity or earlier storm development could pull readings toward 31°C or below.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Маниле 18 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Маниле 18 сентября?
32°C 45%
33°C 29%
31°C 22%
30°C 4%
НОВОЕ
$10,519 Объем
НОВОЕ
$10,519 Объем
18 сент. 2026 г.
28°C или ниже
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
22%
32°C
45%
33°C
29%
34°C
4%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C или выше
<1%
32°C 45%
33°C 29%
31°C 22%
30°C 4%
НОВОЕ
$10,519 Объем
НОВОЕ
$10,519 Объем
18 сент. 2026 г.
28°C или ниже
$102 Объем
2%
29°C
$201 Объем
2%
30°C
$678 Объем
4%
31°C
$1,516 Объем
22%
32°C
$1,520 Объем
45%
33°C
$5,076 Объем
29%
34°C
$947 Объем
4%
35°C
$22 Объем
2%
36°C
$62 Объем
<1%
37°C
$169 Объем
<1%
38°C или выше
$225 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from PAGASA and global models show partly cloudy to cloudy conditions over Manila on September 18, influenced by the prevailing southwest monsoon (habagat), with isolated rain showers and thunderstorms expected. These atmospheric patterns typically limit peak solar heating and suppress maximum temperatures to the 31–33°C range, consistent with historical September averages of 30–31°C highs amid high humidity. Current model consensus and recent observational trends favor 32°C as the most probable outcome, with slight upside potential if convective activity remains limited during peak afternoon hours. Traders are weighting these dynamics against baseline climatology, as stronger monsoon activity or earlier storm development could pull readings toward 31°C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 16, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Объем
$10,519Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:59 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from PAGASA and global models show partly cloudy to cloudy conditions over Manila on September 18, influenced by the prevailing southwest monsoon (habagat), with isolated rain showers and thunderstorms expected. These atmospheric patterns typically limit peak solar heating and suppress maximum temperatures to the 31–33°C range, consistent with historical September averages of 30–31°C highs amid high humidity. Current model consensus and recent observational trends favor 32°C as the most probable outcome, with slight upside potential if convective activity remains limited during peak afternoon hours. Traders are weighting these dynamics against baseline climatology, as stronger monsoon activity or earlier storm development could pull readings toward 31°C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$10,519Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:59 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from PAGASA and global models show partly cloudy to cloudy conditions over Manila on September 18, influenced by the prevailing southwest monsoon (habagat), with isolated rain showers and thunderstorms expected. These atmospheric patterns typically limit peak solar heating and suppress maximum temperatures to the 31–33°C range, consistent with historical September averages of 30–31°C highs amid high humidity. Current model consensus and recent observational trends favor 32°C as the most probable outcome, with slight upside potential if convective activity remains limited during peak afternoon hours. Traders are weighting these dynamics against baseline climatology, as stronger monsoon activity or earlier storm development could pull readings toward 31°C or below.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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