Recent National Meteorological Service and global model consensus (GFS, ECMWF) indicates mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with northeasterly winds of 10–15 km/h will limit daytime heating in Istanbul on September 19. Observed trends through September 18 show afternoon maxima stabilizing near 23–25°C under similar synoptic patterns, placing the 24°C bin at the center of the distribution. Ensemble spreads remain narrow because no incoming frontal systems or anomalous moisture are expected to alter the thermal profile before the daily maximum occurs. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability to 24°C while discounting outliers above 25°C or below 23°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Стамбуле 19 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Стамбуле 19 сентября?
24°C 71%
23°C 18%
25°C 15%
20°C или ниже 2%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 сент. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
18%
24°C
71%
25°C
15%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C или выше
<1%
24°C 71%
23°C 18%
25°C 15%
20°C или ниже 2%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 сент. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
$40 Объем
2%
21°C
$22 Объем
2%
22°C
$7 Объем
2%
23°C
$472 Объем
18%
24°C
$644 Объем
71%
25°C
$471 Объем
15%
26°C
$7 Объем
2%
27°C
$22 Объем
2%
28°C
$182 Объем
<1%
29°C
$116 Объем
<1%
30°C или выше
$432 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Meteorological Service and global model consensus (GFS, ECMWF) indicates mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with northeasterly winds of 10–15 km/h will limit daytime heating in Istanbul on September 19. Observed trends through September 18 show afternoon maxima stabilizing near 23–25°C under similar synoptic patterns, placing the 24°C bin at the center of the distribution. Ensemble spreads remain narrow because no incoming frontal systems or anomalous moisture are expected to alter the thermal profile before the daily maximum occurs. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability to 24°C while discounting outliers above 25°C or below 23°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$2,414Дата окончания
19 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Meteorological Service and global model consensus (GFS, ECMWF) indicates mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with northeasterly winds of 10–15 km/h will limit daytime heating in Istanbul on September 19. Observed trends through September 18 show afternoon maxima stabilizing near 23–25°C under similar synoptic patterns, placing the 24°C bin at the center of the distribution. Ensemble spreads remain narrow because no incoming frontal systems or anomalous moisture are expected to alter the thermal profile before the daily maximum occurs. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability to 24°C while discounting outliers above 25°C or below 23°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,414Дата окончания
19 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Meteorological Service and global model consensus (GFS, ECMWF) indicates mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with northeasterly winds of 10–15 km/h will limit daytime heating in Istanbul on September 19. Observed trends through September 18 show afternoon maxima stabilizing near 23–25°C under similar synoptic patterns, placing the 24°C bin at the center of the distribution. Ensemble spreads remain narrow because no incoming frontal systems or anomalous moisture are expected to alter the thermal profile before the daily maximum occurs. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability to 24°C while discounting outliers above 25°C or below 23°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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