Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Istanbul's maximum temperature on September 18 will likely reach 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This consensus, based on current observations of cooling Atlantic influences and regional pressure patterns, underpins the market's strong preference for 24°C at 49% implied probability. Cloud cover and moderate humidity are expected to limit daytime heating, reducing chances of warmer outcomes above 26°C, while historical September averages near 23–25°C provide additional context for trader positioning ahead of final observational data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Стамбуле 18 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Стамбуле 18 сентября?
24°C 49%
20°C или ниже 46%
23°C 42%
25°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 сент. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
46%
21°C
38%
22°C
35%
23°C
36%
24°C
49%
25°C
40%
26°C
37%
27°C
7%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C или выше
1%
24°C 49%
20°C или ниже 46%
23°C 42%
25°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 сент. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
$0 Объем
46%
21°C
$0 Объем
38%
22°C
$0 Объем
35%
23°C
$7 Объем
36%
24°C
$20 Объем
49%
25°C
$0 Объем
40%
26°C
$0 Объем
37%
27°C
$0 Объем
7%
28°C
$0 Объем
2%
29°C
$0 Объем
1%
30°C или выше
$0 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Istanbul's maximum temperature on September 18 will likely reach 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This consensus, based on current observations of cooling Atlantic influences and regional pressure patterns, underpins the market's strong preference for 24°C at 49% implied probability. Cloud cover and moderate humidity are expected to limit daytime heating, reducing chances of warmer outcomes above 26°C, while historical September averages near 23–25°C provide additional context for trader positioning ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$27Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Istanbul's maximum temperature on September 18 will likely reach 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This consensus, based on current observations of cooling Atlantic influences and regional pressure patterns, underpins the market's strong preference for 24°C at 49% implied probability. Cloud cover and moderate humidity are expected to limit daytime heating, reducing chances of warmer outcomes above 26°C, while historical September averages near 23–25°C provide additional context for trader positioning ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$27Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Istanbul's maximum temperature on September 18 will likely reach 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This consensus, based on current observations of cooling Atlantic influences and regional pressure patterns, underpins the market's strong preference for 24°C at 49% implied probability. Cloud cover and moderate humidity are expected to limit daytime heating, reducing chances of warmer outcomes above 26°C, while historical September averages near 23–25°C provide additional context for trader positioning ahead of final observational data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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