**Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, show a consensus maximum temperature of 22–24°C for Istanbul on September 17, 2026, under partly to mostly cloudy skies with northeast winds of 5–15 km/h and only light or isolated shower chances.** This positions 22°C as the leading market outcome at 53.5% implied probability, followed closely by 23°C at 37.5%, as recent model guidance clusters in the low-to-mid 20s amid typical early-autumn conditions and no strong warming or cooling signals. Minor variations stem from cloud cover timing and local sea-breeze effects, while historical September norms for the region support daytime highs near 23–25°C. Upcoming model updates and real-time observations will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Стамбуле 17 сентября?
22°C 51%
23°C 40%
24°C 6%
21°C 5%
18°C или ниже
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
5%
22°C
51%
23°C
40%
24°C
6%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C или выше
2%
22°C 51%
23°C 40%
24°C 6%
21°C 5%
18°C или ниже
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
5%
22°C
51%
23°C
40%
24°C
6%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C или выше
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, show a consensus maximum temperature of 22–24°C for Istanbul on September 17, 2026, under partly to mostly cloudy skies with northeast winds of 5–15 km/h and only light or isolated shower chances.** This positions 22°C as the leading market outcome at 53.5% implied probability, followed closely by 23°C at 37.5%, as recent model guidance clusters in the low-to-mid 20s amid typical early-autumn conditions and no strong warming or cooling signals. Minor variations stem from cloud cover timing and local sea-breeze effects, while historical September norms for the region support daytime highs near 23–25°C. Upcoming model updates and real-time observations will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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