Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a daytime maximum of 21–24°C for Istanbul on September 16, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and a modest chance of showers. This pattern, typical of mid-September Mediterranean conditions, limits solar heating and supports the market’s strong consensus around 22°C. Persistent cloud cover and sea-breeze moderation from the Bosphorus have kept recent daily highs near 23–25°C, with models showing little day-to-day change through the 16th. Updated runs emphasize stable steering patterns and no significant warm-air advection, reinforcing trader positioning on the narrow 21–23°C range while acknowledging minor uncertainty from precipitation timing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Стамбуле 16 сентября?
22°C 63%
21°C 24%
23°C 12%
20°C 3%
18°C или ниже
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
24%
22°C
63%
23°C
12%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C или выше
<1%
22°C 63%
21°C 24%
23°C 12%
20°C 3%
18°C или ниже
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
24%
22°C
63%
23°C
12%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a daytime maximum of 21–24°C for Istanbul on September 16, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and a modest chance of showers. This pattern, typical of mid-September Mediterranean conditions, limits solar heating and supports the market’s strong consensus around 22°C. Persistent cloud cover and sea-breeze moderation from the Bosphorus have kept recent daily highs near 23–25°C, with models showing little day-to-day change through the 16th. Updated runs emphasize stable steering patterns and no significant warm-air advection, reinforcing trader positioning on the narrow 21–23°C range while acknowledging minor uncertainty from precipitation timing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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