Current forecast models from sources including GFS and regional analyses project a high of 28–29°C in Beijing on September 15 under clear, sunny skies with light southerly or variable winds and low humidity. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on those exact outcomes, reflecting consensus on modest warming above the 26.5°C seasonal average due to stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover. Recent model runs show little divergence, with no incoming fronts or moisture expected to alter the trajectory before resolution. Historical September 15 highs have reached 31.9°C, but present atmospheric conditions support a narrower, cooler range than peak late-summer values.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Пекине 15 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Пекине 15 сентября?
29°C 56%
28°C 22%
30°C 20%
27°C 3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 сент. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
22%
29°C
56%
30°C
20%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C или выше
<1%
29°C 56%
28°C 22%
30°C 20%
27°C 3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 сент. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
$210 Объем
<1%
26°C
$114 Объем
<1%
27°C
$1,037 Объем
3%
28°C
$1,444 Объем
22%
29°C
$2,331 Объем
56%
30°C
$1,133 Объем
20%
31°C
$1,113 Объем
3%
32°C
$364 Объем
1%
33°C
$142 Объем
1%
34°C
$254 Объем
<1%
35°C или выше
$183 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including GFS and regional analyses project a high of 28–29°C in Beijing on September 15 under clear, sunny skies with light southerly or variable winds and low humidity. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on those exact outcomes, reflecting consensus on modest warming above the 26.5°C seasonal average due to stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover. Recent model runs show little divergence, with no incoming fronts or moisture expected to alter the trajectory before resolution. Historical September 15 highs have reached 31.9°C, but present atmospheric conditions support a narrower, cooler range than peak late-summer values.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
Объем
$8,324Дата окончания
15 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including GFS and regional analyses project a high of 28–29°C in Beijing on September 15 under clear, sunny skies with light southerly or variable winds and low humidity. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on those exact outcomes, reflecting consensus on modest warming above the 26.5°C seasonal average due to stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover. Recent model runs show little divergence, with no incoming fronts or moisture expected to alter the trajectory before resolution. Historical September 15 highs have reached 31.9°C, but present atmospheric conditions support a narrower, cooler range than peak late-summer values.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$8,324Дата окончания
15 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including GFS and regional analyses project a high of 28–29°C in Beijing on September 15 under clear, sunny skies with light southerly or variable winds and low humidity. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on those exact outcomes, reflecting consensus on modest warming above the 26.5°C seasonal average due to stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover. Recent model runs show little divergence, with no incoming fronts or moisture expected to alter the trajectory before resolution. Historical September 15 highs have reached 31.9°C, but present atmospheric conditions support a narrower, cooler range than peak late-summer values.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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