Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicates a highest temperature near 26°C for Chengdu on September 14, driven by partly cloudy conditions and light rain chances that limit daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin. September climatology shows typical highs declining from late-summer peaks toward 25°C averages, with humidity and topographic sheltering moderating extremes. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 25–27°C due to forecast variability in cloud cover timing and wind patterns, which can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чэнду 14 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Чэнду 14 сентября?
27°C 25%
26°C 23%
25°C 16%
28°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 сент. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
4%
23°C
7%
24°C
10%
25°C
16%
26°C
23%
27°C
25%
28°C
13%
29°C
9%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C или выше
2%
27°C 25%
26°C 23%
25°C 16%
28°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 сент. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
$101 Объем
4%
23°C
$7 Объем
7%
24°C
$36 Объем
10%
25°C
$0 Объем
16%
26°C
$15 Объем
23%
27°C
$104 Объем
25%
28°C
$0 Объем
13%
29°C
$0 Объем
9%
30°C
$0 Объем
3%
31°C
$0 Объем
3%
32°C или выше
$6 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicates a highest temperature near 26°C for Chengdu on September 14, driven by partly cloudy conditions and light rain chances that limit daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin. September climatology shows typical highs declining from late-summer peaks toward 25°C averages, with humidity and topographic sheltering moderating extremes. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 25–27°C due to forecast variability in cloud cover timing and wind patterns, which can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$269Дата окончания
14 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicates a highest temperature near 26°C for Chengdu on September 14, driven by partly cloudy conditions and light rain chances that limit daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin. September climatology shows typical highs declining from late-summer peaks toward 25°C averages, with humidity and topographic sheltering moderating extremes. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 25–27°C due to forecast variability in cloud cover timing and wind patterns, which can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$269Дата окончания
14 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicates a highest temperature near 26°C for Chengdu on September 14, driven by partly cloudy conditions and light rain chances that limit daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin. September climatology shows typical highs declining from late-summer peaks toward 25°C averages, with humidity and topographic sheltering moderating extremes. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 25–27°C due to forecast variability in cloud cover timing and wind patterns, which can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы